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Metasequoia

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Everything posted by Metasequoia

  1. FWIW - NOAA gives NYC a ~50% chance of snow for Saturday night and Sunday.
  2. For anyone doing PBPs that aren't seasoned at this, let's hold off on pronouncements until it's obvious how the model run is progressing.
  3. That was a fantastic storm that was almost a complete surprise. I lived in Raleigh at the time... a couple hours before the first flakes, the forecast was for mostly rain.
  4. Per NOAA, CP ended the day with 1.82 inches.
  5. The GFS has intermittently shown a big storm impacting the region for almost a week now. The 21st, 23rd, and 24th model runs looked good... just not the recent runs.
  6. CP has recorded 1.61 LQP as of 8PM. That's an impressive Winter storm... and not that common for NYC.
  7. Visibility has reduced further. Mostly snow in Battery Park City.
  8. Visibility reduced again in southern Manhattan... probably a sleet and snow mix.
  9. Sleet and snow battle in Battery Park City.
  10. Since this storm will be dumping heavy snow from the Texas through New England, the NESIS value might be huge. Category 3 at least... maybe 4. Although, I wonder how far outside of the northeast, NESIS applies to. I thought to the Midwest... https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/access/monitoring/rsi/nesis
  11. The QPF has consistently been at least 1 inch for sure. Also, seems like it has been increasing for days.
  12. Another Ukie run, another NYC snow hole. Having said that... it's a colder solution, which is welcome.
  13. It's good to keep expectations in check... and a 24 hour storm with 6 to 10 inches of snow and sleet (followed by below freezing temps for a week) would typically thrill everyone on here.
  14. Snow is the best, but one of the things I like about sleet is how loud it is. It adds another dimension to storms.
  15. I get that this storm will have a dry slot, but come on, right? Too consistent run to run... it's like the British are screwing with New Yorkers.
  16. It was March 2017... NYC got 5 or so inches of sleet on top of a couple inches of snow. 2 inches of LQP. Lots of thundersleet...
  17. Freezing rain isn't so much fun. However, I think of sleet as low ratio snow that helps keep the snow pack around longer.
  18. 6 to 10 inches of snow topped with a couple inches of sleet, followed by days below freezing... sounds good to me.
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