Jump to content

EastonSN+

Members
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    9,108

  • Joined

  • Last visited

 Content Type 

Everything posted by EastonSN+

  1. EastonSN+
    Thanks Don, Speaking of the CFS weeklies only (do not have EURO), loving the fact that the entire run is below average temps, but not arctic (would run risk of suppression IMO). Like you said low skill range for these products - but very promising!
  2. EastonSN+
    Looks like great timing getting back to phases 781 when the block matures.
  3. EastonSN+
    The CFS weeklies show exactly what you were forecasting. Blocking week 2 and then east coast trough weeks 3 through 6.
  4. EastonSN+
    Thanks for this! IMO I believe while a SE can hurt in December and March, it can be a blessing in Jan Feb and blocking periods. I would have loved a bump in Feb 2010. That one hurt. Think Staten Island had 8 while Manhattan had 0.
  5. EastonSN+
    Yeah wonder if it's cyclical. I watched a show which focused on weather patterns in history. Mini ice ages and warm spells. Apparently at one point it was so warm globally that they were growing grapes in England.
  6. EastonSN+
    Now that I trashed the weeklies, CFS weeklies look phenomenal - ha. Of course I do not put much stock in them but weeks 2 through 6 present blocking early and -epo +PNA late.
  7. EastonSN+
    also on the topic of "Delayed and denied", I only remember this happening twice. 01/02 19/20 Both times it was the worthless weeklies week 3 and beyond we were focusing on. In this case both the GEFS and EPS are matching other than a couple of days difference.
  8. EastonSN+
    I wouldn't worry, not one MET has stated that it will keep getting pushed back, and Forky last night stated that it was always EOM and beyond. I have a feeling this will work out like Feb 2021. I may not get over 30 in 3 weeks again, but a similar window with opportunities.
  9. EastonSN+
    The below is best case. MJO getting back to 7,8,1 by the time the block matures last quarter of the month! Hard not to get amped. On a side note, and a question, can a large MJO spike in 6 cause an SSWE? Isnt that what happened in March 2018?
  10. EastonSN+
    Looks like the 2010 block was further west into Canada in that snip - perhaps pushing the SE ridge a bit east in 2010. This might help us avoid suppression in the initial stage.
  11. EastonSN+
    Beautiful
  12. EastonSN+
    It'll be fine in the end like the delays in all prior blocking events. GEFS gets there
  13. EastonSN+
    Yeah GEFS brings the MJO around 5 and 6 while EPS is COD. Maybe the reason.
  14. EastonSN+
    We'll be fine. Maybe it gets delayed a bit, but until I see a Met punt I am all in!!
  15. EastonSN+
    The EPS is amazing.
  16. EastonSN+
    Also as mentioned in the MA forum. EPS has been rock steady while GEFS has been more volatile run to run. Something to keep in mind.
  17. EastonSN+
    GEFS and EPS look great IMO. GEFS a little later but not denied. I feel like this happens in all blocks where we have to wait a bit
  18. EastonSN+
    GEFS eventually looks ok. Takes a bit longer.
  19. EastonSN+
    To be completely honest, we tend to freak out in every part
  20. EastonSN+
    Now that's a block!
  21. EastonSN+
    Yeah Philly cracked 30. #2 NESIS storm of all time. Pennsylvania highways closed for a long time too so grocery stores were light for a couple days.
  22. EastonSN+
    Biggest snow of my life living in Norwalk CT. 27 inches. Loved how it was long duration and a megalopolis storm so amped up media coverage.
  23. EastonSN+
    Varies. March 2018 and December 2010 each lasted 6 plus weeks. March was a SSWE (not sure reason for 2010). Since this was not caused by a SSWE might not last as long? The METS on this forum would know best.
  24. EastonSN+
    Am I wrong for thinking that it will be a disappointment if we only get one KU event? Maybe not the 3 like 10/11, but I would accept 2.
  25. EastonSN+
    Seems kind of light given the pattern we are heading into
×
×
  • Create New...