Rd9108

Airport reporting 2.5 for the season so far. Pretty good start to winter. Let's just hope we can cash in on something substantial. 2010 seems like a long ways away. 

43 minutes ago, KPITSnow said:

Good lord...look at the nws area map..we are surrounded by advisories. So typical. 

Its only November. If you're getting mad already you are in for atleast 3 months of disappointment. 

Yeah not expecting much but 2 inches in November is more than most Novembers so it's not really a let down. 

2 hours ago, RitualOfTheTrout said:

Anyone interested, apparently Jeff Verszyla has his own little hobby weather site https://pittsburghweathernow.com/ Looks like he posts daily weather forecasts etc. A little cheesy at first but after I watched a couple you can tell he is just having some fun and keeping relevant with weather. Anyways, he posted a Winter Forecast:

https://www.facebook.com/JeffVerszylaWeather/videos/1660342644103250/

Well it's that time of year already I guess. Interesting Jeff's going above normal on temps for November whenever it's looking like we maybe getting some serious cold shots. Looking at the mid range maybe next week we get our first shot at accumulating snow. 

So I dont know if it was the same cell but over in springhill I believe a microburst hit. The wind that came down was super impressive to the point that there was zero visibility. It knocked down dozens of big trees and powerlines. Lightning struck constantly for a few minutes. It was really impressive. We had to shut the garage door so it didnt blow anymore inside and ruin the tables. Here's some pics. 

Yeah a lot of lighting even in the southern tip of the storm. It was atleast enjoyable. 

5 minutes ago, Voyager said:

And will somehow figure out a way to miss Schuylkill County...

Same is happening in Pittsburgh. 20 miles north and it's been just a parade of storms. 

Looking like the city will be on the southern edge of the good cells. Oh well. 

11 minutes ago, CoraopolisWx said:

Probably gonna be a race between the boundary pushing far enough south before the best dynamics move east. 

Reminds me of being on the southern edge of a WSW.  Lol

 

Just some little lightning at this point would suffice. Not really wanting crazy hail but it does feel like a winter screw job. 

So far all of the storms have been north of the city. Hopefully one of these babies can get further south. I'm doubting it. 

Yikes and this is gonna be the main gfs soon. 

Yep this is looking like a classic i95 storm now. 

Let's not forget that even the gfs was too far south for the January storm. That mix line was almost up in New York. 

3 minutes ago, KPITSnow said:

Screw this winter...honestly screw every winter here. I’m so sick of missing 6-12 inch storms by 100 miles on every side of us. I don not want another 2-4 inch event.

Suck it up buttercup because that's exactly what we are about to get. 

6 minutes ago, KPITSnow said:

Way south. I’d honestly call it awful.

I imagine the euro will come south today. 

NAM doesnt look like its budging with a euro like solution. 

Wave 2 looks pretty strong. Not good. 

22 minutes ago, Burghblizz said:

NAM is still a nice hit for Sunday. Just the GFS that’s looking flat. Still a couple days out.

While we are worried about that, it is snowing!

not surprisingly, advisory expanded to Allegheny county and south.

Back end coming quick but it’s going to be a real interesting couple hours if you are awake. Definitely have some model agreement of a quick thump. 

Naw the para, the gefs, the UK all came southeast and flatter. Still could trend north last minute but it's a thread the needle for us.

Seems like this storm is ramping up on the models which makes the Sunday storm trend flatter which means its congrats WV and DC again. Still can change but not the trends you want to see. 

And just like that the screw trend has began. 

Hi rez NAM still whacks the metro with almost 5 inches of snow. I dont see that happening but I wouldn't be surprised to see some 3-4 inch amounts. 

HRRR is showing 5 inches just south of AGH. That's pretty impressive for how fast the precip is rolling through. 

NWS still going with 1 inch. Either they will update their forecast with 2-3 expected or they will live or die with their amounts. 

7 minutes ago, Burghblizz said:

18Z NAM looking a little juicier for this first wave

Yeah maybe 2-4 with isolated 5 inch reports could be possible. 

Let the south PA get theirs tonight and then the metro and surrounding areas get hit Monday. I'm just worried if this is too amped it pushing the baroclinic boundary south