Rd9108

Another day of level 2 severe tomorrow

Im golfing tomorrow so im definitely on team spring but it definitely looks like we will see a return to possibly more seasonable/wintry weather

the potential is there and thats all it is.

Its hot and sunny out

Im going down to Florida March 23rd so as long as its warm there idc what it is here. I agree though once we get to the end of March Im over snow. Although ill cheer on a heavy thump if it happens

Euro is showing some impressive temps for March. See if this signal continues into next week. Still 10 days away.

Btw who remembers this storm. Happened in mid March

Before we deal with winter weather again possibly we have some severe weather to deal with.

It can still snow in May here. I get that ot doesnt stick around though.

We shouldn't be taking model runs that are 10 days out seriously. EPS shows cold weather returning and the GEFS isnt nearly as torchy as the OP

No I actually like Bigjoe tbh.

I told some of you he does this. On X he posts about the cold coming. On his site he has a different tune of course since he could lose his business.

Well mid month guidance has shown a return of winter fwiw https://x.com/i/status/2028181023901553072

I think we ended up with a half inch of slop. Lol But it was getting built up leading up to it. So bored at work so went back to the archives. Looks like models were crushing us 3 days out and even 2 days out. We were all excited run to run to see things like this Eventually it started to get shunted south and weaker. Models started fringing the area pretty hard. Up until game time the models shifted south and areas in WV were the big winner with 6-10 inches. We barely even got advisory level snow.

What happened?

After today idk if I want it back.

Id venture to guess if this plays out that we will be stuck with a warm up and then winter weather returning unfortunately

Not really seeing any signs of anything notable but heres the latest NBM.

CMC similar. Models are pretty locked in this far out.

The problem is that pesky clipper is trending stronger on sunday which of course suppresses the main wave. We need that clipper to die. Still time but not great trends as of now.

Shocker or is it right where we want it this far out

Ill take one more warning event and then idc what it does after

One final one

Agreed. Storms like this always make me nervous to trend north over south unless its like a 1050 HP. Im sure there will be some good Ensemble members. Need the Euro to get on board