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OKpowdah

Moderator Meteorologist
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Everything posted by OKpowdah

  1. OKpowdah

    The Post Christmas storm threat is still vey real

    Lead s/w is killing us. Notice that is also a secondary maximum in the H5 spread on the SREF
  2. OKpowdah

    The Post Christmas storm threat is still vey real

    lol. It's a cyclone phase diagram based on the 18z GFS forecast of the low. It uses the modeled thermal wind and SR thickness symmetry to differentiate between cold and warm core and symmetric and asymmetric. Tropical systems are symmetric warm core, and extratropical cyclones are asymmetric cold core. In this case, with rapid cyclogenesis occuring at the surface, the system develops a warm core as the surface low deepens quicker than the mid level low (thus the thickness between the two layers increases in the center of the storm). And the storm becomes vertically stacked, and sheds frontal boundarys, it becomes more symmetric, before dying. Pretty common evolution for this type of mid latitude ocean cyclogenesis.
  3. OKpowdah

    The Post Christmas storm threat is still vey real

    yep! haha he should! lol
  4. OKpowdah

    The Post Christmas storm threat is still vey real

    Drops to 954mb at hr96!
  5. OKpowdah

    The Post Christmas storm threat is still vey real

    NCEP: "Based on the reactions from the 12z runs, I think we're going to lose viewers for the 18z. We gotta put some juice into it for this one to draw them back in a little longer" Very nearly IDENTICAL to the 06z GFS. Just a little SE and MUCH stronger. In case anyone is wondering, thats a 954mb low at hr96! What a temptation. It's like watching Natalie Portman and Mila Kunis make out in Black Swan
  6. OKpowdah

    The Post Christmas storm threat is still vey real

    Obviously the Cape and eastern MA are in the game whatever. congrats
  7. OKpowdah

    The Post Christmas storm threat is still vey real

    I have one word for everyone: CANCEL Cancel, cancel, cancel, cancel, CANCEL
  8. OKpowdah

    The Post Christmas storm threat is still vey real

    Alright. I'm done. This has been a disgusting year. I'm sick of this
  9. OKpowdah

    The Post Christmas storm threat is still vey real

    That STUPID lead s/w. Downstream ridging less than previous runs.
  10. OKpowdah

    The Post Christmas storm threat is still vey real

    This one will be big. Euro not backing down
  11. OKpowdah

    The Post Christmas storm threat is still vey real

    Has anyone else built up an association such that they cringe whenever they see the word "east" anywhere
  12. OKpowdah

    The Post Christmas storm threat is still vey real

    I think the Euro will look very much like last night, slid east 40 miles
  13. OKpowdah

    The Post Christmas storm threat is still vey real

    Can we PLEASE limit the use of the term "KU"? It doesn't just refer to a big snow storm. Half of the references I see are incorrect. New England can get demolished in a non-KU event. In fact, most of those cases are near misses.
  14. OKpowdah

    The Post Christmas storm threat is still vey real

    The lead s/w is killing us too by knocking down the east coast ridging. BUT the Quebec energy is west If we get part 1 to work out, part 2 is starting to shape up nicely
  15. OKpowdah

    The Post Christmas storm threat is still vey real

    Your thread is on pace to make the AmericanWx Hall of Fail
  16. OKpowdah

    The Post Christmas storm threat is still vey real

    Looks like it'll pretty bad for the Mid Atlantic, but probably a good hit for eastern New England
  17. OKpowdah

    The Post Christmas storm threat is still vey real

    Just trying to take an objective look at the run. Just because it's a whiff, doesn't mean everything is bad.
  18. OKpowdah

    The Post Christmas storm threat is still vey real

    Alright, the suicide posts are getting pretty ridiculous. It's one run of the NAM. It's bad, yes, but the last couple pages look like something we'd see on the main page *gasp*
  19. OKpowdah

    The Post Christmas storm threat is still vey real

    It was a big player in the outcome of last night's Euro and the 06z GFS
  20. OKpowdah

    The Post Christmas storm threat is still vey real

    One piece of positive from the NAM: It has followed the trend for the Quebec energy to dive down further west.
  21. OKpowdah

    The Post Christmas storm threat is still vey real

    LOL Not a great start to your thread Kevin
  22. If you love it, do it. Pretty darn simple I love meteorology
  23. I'm surprised the JMA hasn't completely removed humans from the field.
  24. Thank you very much! This thread has changed my life. I'm going to switch my major to art
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