qg_omega

Haven’t snowed at this cold 8-9 degrees in years around these parts

Moderate snow already 2 inches. 8/4 temp/dew

-29 This morning SLK

8.3 inches January 28-29 in 2022

This has trended to every SWFE we have had the past 5 years

It has a local screw zone between the two coastal lows, very similar to UKMET.

Throwing out NAM, very good consensus of around 8 to 10

Plenty of SWFE where we had 2 inch thump rates over the past 5 years that went to Sleet

NAM looks like every SWFE storm from the past 5 years, thump to sleet. Crazy how this evolution changed from a few days ago

Need to look at 700mb for the warm push and surface temps are not relevant

Why is every storm a SWFE now, really missing real coastal storms and CCB snow, hopefully we get one this year

Need to watch out for the warm layer, it’s not going to be at 850mb. In these situations warm air loves to punch in around 700mb and is often faster than modeled. Need to watch the NAM Friday and Saturday

We had a few high ratio clippers in the old days

You went from congrats VA to this in a day? lol