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homedis

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Everything posted by homedis

  1. homedis
    Woke up this morning to a foot in Lake Forest. Best winter storm since Feb 2021 hands down!
  2. homedis
    Up to 10” snow depth, if I measured hourly and wiped a board clean each time I’m sure we’d be at 12” total accumulation. Best welcome to winter!
  3. homedis
    Just about 7.5” here in Lake Forest, some of the best dendrites all day right now.
  4. homedis
    6” and going. Bit of a dry slot coming in but looks like we still have 6”+ to go if HRRR is accurate. I think a foot may be within reach for most of Chicagoland.
  5. homedis
    0.5” here in Lake Forest. About as expected thus far!
  6. homedis
    From what I see on most guidance, it’ll increase QPF but will also reduce the ratios due to the warmer lake waters, so it’s almost a net zero. Not sure what will actually happen
  7. homedis
    Interesting, they even mention lake enhancement. Doesn’t match up with LOT at all. Edit: looking at it again, its actually matches up. Just a really odd look to the LOT map with the 5-9” stripe in the heart of Cook County.
  8. homedis
    Interesting signal on the HRRR for some lake enh in far SE WI and Lake County IL. A limiting factor of that would be 1:6-1:8 ratios with the warmer air.
  9. homedis
    Looking good. Curious to see how the lake will affect snow ratios in lakeside areas with the slightly onshore SSE flow, but thinking 1:10 average is reasonable. Final call 7.5” Lake Forest, I’ll be stationed here for duration of the storm. They got around 6” from the LES event a few weeks back so that would be over a foot total for Nov — quite impressive.
  10. homedis
    Seems more reasonable tbh, track still looks good & I’d be very happy with a widespread 6-8”.
  11. homedis
    Got two videos of the thundersnow… I can go to sleep in peace now. https://imgur.com/a/pubD2KK https://imgur.com/a/ZYInPQz
  12. homedis
    THUNDERSNOW!!!
  13. homedis
    Quite hard to measure with the wind gusts, but I’m measuring around 2.5” in the past hour. With close to 3” total accumulation thus far in Wicker Park.
  14. homedis
    Absolutely ripping here. This feels like thundersnow any mintue now… https://imgur.com/a/6GqbyUD
  15. homedis
    Pouring snow in Wicker Park area, flake size has definitely improved.
  16. homedis
    HRRR is liking Lake Co., IL & Kenosha a little more with the 18z.
  17. homedis
    Overall short term guidance seems pretty consistent with the snow band. 12z suite came a touch west with the main band compared to 06z, but only time will tell. Nevertheless, trying to not get my hopes up too much as we know how these setups can easily pull out of NE IL and into NE IN pretty fast
  18. homedis
    I didn't see it on the previous outlooks (maybe I missed it) but there's a 10% hatched tornado probs for WI thru NE IL and NW IN. Pretty narrow corridor due to the expectation of the discrete cells transitioning to a linear complex quickly, I'd imagine. Should be an interesting day.
  19. homedis
    McLean, IL cell has that look to it
  20. homedis
    We went from heavy storms to sun really fast here. Timing with the front may be just too late here
  21. homedis
    Yeah lots less AM convection than anticipated. Suns peeking out in NE IL.
  22. homedis
    Rockin with some big flakes now in West Town! Hope this phase is an over performer after earlier today’s under performer.
  23. homedis
    Flake size & rates definitely improved in the loop. Was miserable grabbing lunch with the wind-whipped flakes.
  24. homedis
    We will see, it’s still early. On HRRR/RAP the organized band wasn’t shown to really get going until later overnight.
  25. homedis
    HRRR now showing the LE plume sitting in MKE tonight as well as extreme SE Cook County tomorrow. Let’s see what happens!
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