NEOH

Came up with the same total. Winds were ripping so it was hard to measure. Sure felt like Winter this morning. It would really be a kick in the arse if we don't see one significant LES event on a NW flow before the ice forms... which will be happening soon. Looks like winds will turn WNW'erly for a brief time following the clipper then shift to the WSW - same as this past storm.

Yeah, 290 is the best wind direction we could ask for... Longest fetch possible. The east side on through Geauga county do best with that wind direction.

Those amounts are very realistic. Liking the fact that winds stay north of due west for most of Sunday night. The clipper and les still look good as well.

On a 290 flow that would be great. Just more moisture and we are in business.

Our prospects for snow are looking a little better. Looks like we will have a 6-9 hour window of WNW winds once the storm passes before they turn WSW. I think a more easterly track of the low would be beneficial (instead of moving NNE). Just about the same set-up behind the clipper... with a brief window of WNW winds. Better than watching a multi-day WNY burying with constant WSW winds.

There will definitely be a nice window for enhancement as the low moves to the NE. Yeah... would be nice to hold that flow for a few days. Would be great if the low slowed down north of lake ontario. Gotta love CLE - THIS IS IMPORTANT BECAUSE BY MID MORNING ON SUNDAY WE SHOULD SEE THE RAIN SWITCH TO SNOW. ACCUMULATING WRAP AROUND SNOW IS LIKELY MOST OF THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING. TOUGH TO GET EXCITED ABOUT SNOW THIS WINTER BUT IF THE MODEL TRENDS CONTINUE WE MAY NEED SOME SORT OF WINTER WEATHER HEADLINE. AS IT STANDS WILL NEED HIGH PRECIP CHANCES MOST OF THE PERIOD.

After today's model runs it appears the low might run right over CLE this weekend. Even if it were take a more easterly track there just wouldn't be enough cold air around. Looks like a brief window for wrap around lake enhanced snow before winds shift to the wsw.

Boring disco from CLE in this afternoon AFD. At least we'll have more exciting weather to track in the coming days.

A long ways out... but it does appear that winds will be shifting around throughout the event. Doubtful that one area gets hit for multiple days. I still think WNY will be the jackpot. CLE mentioned ice cover building in the western basin next week. It has really cooled off the past few days so not surprising. Still hoping that the Sunday/Monday wave can deliver some synoptic snow.

Temp was 1.4 IMBY this morning so pretty close. There is still plenty of time for the models to change which I'm sure they will. Would be great to sneak in a synoptic system in the Sunday/Monday time frame. Euro takes the weak low too far east for us.

As currently modeled... the winds would be west to wsw throughout. Basically worst case scenario if you live in Ohio. WNY would be buried once again. Lets hope things change.

Right around 2" here in South Russell. Was definitely expecting a better event. On to the next...

Good to hear about the Huron band... The local models were always too far west/south with band placement so we'll see what happens. Must have been poor snow growth today... Snowed much of th day but only snow grains/pellets. Starting to pick-up again now.

If the Huron band swings far enough west you may do better than expected by the lakeshore. Does CLe or Buf still run the local models? Can't find them on either site.

Nice forecast oh weather. Radar is starting to light up over the lake. Sure feels like winter again... Now let's get some snow to go with the cold. With the short fetch we'll probably see the "green blob" radar appearance over the higher elevations.

It will be interesting to see how everything works out... typically these arctic frontal passages don't produce much LES, but moisture doesn't look that bad as you mentioned. With lake temps in the central basin around 42 degrees that will certainly produce extreme instability. Anything to end this endless boring stretch will be welcome. Can't believe there is is chance of LES without a WSW wind.

It will definitely be colder... But doesn't look like anything exciting snowfall wise. A couple seasonable days then above normal earl next week. Hopefully we can see a few snow showers Friday/Saturday. Would rather it stay warm until/if the pattern changes as most are talking about. Don't want to bleed any more warmth from the lake.

60/58 Imby on 12/23... While it feels nice it just doesn't feel right. Let's just keep the lake temps warm at this point. Unreal warmth out there.

Congrats on the snow.... Especially the way this winter has started. Only 3" around here but it feels like winter... Even only for a brief time.

I didn't think it would come this far south either. If it can take a more NW to SE position it won't lose the long fetch. But it looks like it may just sag south due E to W.

What a mega band just north of here. I've been hearing thunder off and on so I bet the rates are amazing. I'll definitely be taking a drive to check it out. NE Cuyahoga should be under an advisory. Edit: No need to drive... the band has pushed south. Snowing heavily on the outer edge. Really surprised it made it this far south.

Tough to sit this one out with the wsw wind direction. Nice to see flakes in the air though. WNY looks like the jackpot.

Bummer we couldn't get a favorable wind diretion for us southern snowbelt folks. We'll probably get a few scraps as winds turn WNW'erly... but ridging pushes in quickly.

Hard to believe there's a chance of LES this weekend with the warm weather the past few days. Patches of my grass are as green as they are in the Spring. Checked the soil temp yesterday it was around 50. Safe to say that any snow that falls will certainly melt from the bottom. Still a long ways out there but the flow looks to be westerly... perhaps WSW'erly. Ouch!

Looks like we don't drop under 45 until next Monday night. Ouch! Thanks for posting the lake temps Trent... We are about to go off of the charts it appears. Wonder what the all time record is for lake temps in mid-December.