Blizzard of 93
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Everything posted by Blizzard of 93
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I’m going to need my snow shovel in a couple of weeks…
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The teleconnections on the EPS support the advertised pattern. -NAO, -EPO & -AO
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I’ll take my chances with 2 out of the 3 reliable global ensembles showing a great looking pattern.
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I’m not sure if you noticed the 0z GFS last night had some snow for us way out on December 7th. Only 14 days to go!
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The good pattern on the ensembles that I posted doesn’t kick in until between day 10 & 15. Day 15 the EPS & GEFS both end looking really good, so the advertised pattern should continue beyond.
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The 0z GEFS & EPS both agree & have the Greenland based blocking in a good spot between day 10 & 15.
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This pattern showing on the ensembles with the -NAO blocking near Greenland & the ridging near Alaska should produce some real winter threats starting in about 10 days to 2 weeks if it continues to hold.
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24 for my low in Marysville & 27 currently. The upcoming pattern starting in about 10 days should get full time winter storm tracking well underway. Happy Turkey Eve!
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Really, I haven’t looked yet…On the 6z GFS…?
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MDT departure from normal temperature for the month now stands at +2.8. This number has really been chopped down the last few days with a few -10’s going in the books. The rest of this week looks to be within a couple degrees of normal, so this number will probably only change slightly moving forward.
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MDT got down to 25 this morning.
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22 low in Marysville
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MDT had a low of 20 this morning, which was only 1 degree away from the record low of 19 back in 1951.
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It’s November 21st and our average high temperatures are still near 50. Some of us already scored some early season snow & we have had some frigid temperatures this week. Our snow tracking time is coming soon!
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Low of 17 in Marysville this morning. Crazy cold for November!
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Lol, MDT will probably rise to 50 overnight because of heavy holiday week jet traffic!
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In one word…. Nope !
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I think most of us are out of the game for this event, but the the higher elevations of the northern & western half of CTP are still in the game in my opinion.
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That primary is very weak. Need the coastal to get going & deepen as soon as possible further south.
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The 12z Euro deepens a coastal low right into NYC on Friday night. This run is good enough to flip North central PA to snow. You might be in a good spot at your cabin on Friday night.
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Yes, the models are correcting back to a strong storm towards the coast, but too far inland at this time. It’s Probably too late & too warm for most of us, but the final track is not yet written in stone.
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Enjoy the brisket! Turkey week is upon us!
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I had a scattered light dusting on the car tops early this morning. Yet again, I missed the actual snow falling from the sky, lol!
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I don’t think the coastal storm threat for the end of this coming week can totally be written off yet. The 0z EPS still develops a coastal storm in the DelMarVa and tracks it up off of Long Island. If the coastal development takes place at that latitude, then it’s just a matter of how much cold air is available.
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I got down to 21 last night in Marysville. Coldest morning this season.
