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Blizzard of 93

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Everything posted by Blizzard of 93

  1. 12z Euro gives Advisory level snow to parts of the LSV on Tuesday. Lol, that heavier little band looks like it’s giving the finger to Maytown & Palmyra!
  2. 12z UKIE for Tuesday still keeps us in the game for an Advisory level event.
  3. CTP discussion for tomorrow’s squalls… .SHORT TERM /SUNDAY/... A progged west-southwest flow should keep lake effect snow north of the border through Sunday. However, the passage of a secondary cold front will likely be accompanied by a round of snow showers/squalls Sunday morning. High res models generate up to 150-200 J/KG Sunday morning (esp over and to the east of the Susq Valley during the midday hours), supporting the convective snows. Low level convergence along the front, combined with steep lower tropospheric lapse rates and some cape, argues for the potential of a linear snow squall band traversing the northern counties between 10Z-14Z Sunday across the Western Mtns, and 14-18Z for the Central and Eastern Zones. Will continue to strongly message the potential for these dangerous squalls on Social Media outlets and to our Public Partners. Lingering, light upslope snow could last into Sunday PM over the Alleghenies. However, the focus for much of the region will become gusty winds and an arrival of the coldest air mass of this winter, with wind chills falling below zero by evening over the Allegheny Plateau.
  4. CTP is really ramping up tomorrow’s snow squall potential. This is for Harrisburg. Sunday Occasional flurries with a slight chance of snow showers before 8am, then snow showers between 8am and 3pm, then occasional flurries after 3pm. The snow could be heavy at times. High near 34. Breezy, with a west wind 15 to 23 mph, with gusts as high as 41 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New snow accumulation of around an inch possible.
  5. I was having fun with @canderson typo there, kind of, but you never know what Jerry is up to… This Eagles team has so many issues right now. Lord knows that I am an optimist, but this team lost me this month. It is a “week to week” league & “any given Sunday”…but I don’t have much confidence any longer. It’s shocking just how far they have dropped off in the last month. But, I hope you are right!
  6. No, the “payoff” game will be the Dallas game…lol, but really not lol…
  7. 12z GFS means business for the 19th this run. It would fit the advertised pattern.
  8. 12z globals for Tuesday. 2 of the 3 give Advisory snow to the LSV.
  9. 12 RGEM for Tuesday… we are still alive for an Advisory level event.
  10. For the punters…. The 12z NAM actually has the best Tuesday snow in northern areas of CTP & has mixing in the LSV… Long way to go!
  11. 6z RGEM still says game on for an Advisory level event on Tuesday & still had light snow ongoing at the end of its run.
  12. Heck, the 6z NAM track Tuesday the low too close & brings precip type issues to the LSV this run… long way to go…
  13. Good morning, yes, the 6z ICON would be solid Advisory level event for the LSV.
  14. 0z Euro has a light event for Tuesday, but improved slightly over recent runs for the LSV.
  15. The 0z Ukie is still on board for an Advisory event for us on Tuesday.
  16. Remember the storm last weekend? It went from congrats MD to congrats Massachusetts & southern NH in about 4 days… Far from over
  17. No sir, way too close to punt now…we could still easily get a widespread 2-4 out of Tuesday.
  18. Pattern has quick relax/reload & we should be back in business by the end of January.
  19. 0z Canadian still has decent snow just to our southeast for Tuesday.
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