Blizzard of 93

Another RGEM beauty of a run is underway.

Please, please, please

Welcome back!

Yes, the EPS…love it!

Just for fun…. Glass half full…you are 10 miles away from more as well…

18z Euro still decent for most.

We can’t forget the Happy Hour Herp a Derp short range Canadian! Looks good… I’ll take some Herp…lol

How much for Palmyra & Marysville?

Ohhhhh Canada….!

The RGEM has been very consistent & so has the ICON. Not sure how I feel about it, lol!

The 12z Euro is still the driest of the 3 globals at 12z. Hopefully it juices up some later on.

Nice improvement from the Euro over its 0z & 6z runs, especially for the southern tier counties.

Understood & all good too! I am guilty as charged for being too optimistic sometimes. Let’s enjoy whatever we end up with tomorrow.

35/21 in Marysville. Low dews should help tomorrow.

I am very experienced in the highs & lows on here & in my backyard in my nearly 30 years of tracking Winter storms. Lol, “funeral” might have been a little strong, but the southern tier crew were acting like it was over for all of us, that was my issue. I respect your experience & knowledge, & didn’t mean to insult you or anyone. I was just commenting on the tone of the thread for awhile this morning.

Good trend. Maybe the GFS is recognizing the blocking up top & responding.

CTP agrees with your call.

Lol, Nope, go read back, it was like a funeral in here for about an hour.

ALEET, ALEET ! Winter Storm Warning URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service State College PA 1223 PM EST Fri Jan 5 2024 PAZ012-018-019-025>028-034>036-045-049-050-056-057-059-063-064- 060900- /O.UPG.KCTP.WS.A.0001.240106T1200Z-240107T1500Z/ /O.NEW.KCTP.WS.W.0001.240106T1200Z-240107T0300Z/ Northern Clinton-Northern Centre-Southern Centre-Blair-Huntingdon- Mifflin-Juniata-Bedford-Fulton-Franklin-Southern Clinton-Union- Snyder-Perry-Dauphin-Lebanon-Cumberland-Adams- Including the cities of Renovo, Philipsburg, State College, Altoona, Huntingdon, Mount Union, Lewistown, Mifflintown, Bedford, McConnellsburg, Chambersburg, Lock Haven, Lewisburg, Selinsgrove, Newport, Harrisburg, Hershey, Lebanon, Carlisle, and Gettysburg 1223 PM EST Fri Jan 5 2024 ...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM TO 10 PM EST SATURDAY... * WHAT...Heavy snow expected. Total snow accumulations of 4 to 8 inches. * WHERE...Portions of central Pennsylvania. * WHEN...From 7 AM to 10 PM EST Saturday. * IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Snowfall rates of 1 to 2 inches per hour are most likely during the afternoon into the evening. Mixed precipitation should result in reduced snowfall accumulation for areas to the southeast of I-81 and I-78. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... The Pennsylvania Department of Transportation and Pennsylvania Turnpike Commission strongly encourage motorists to heed all travel restrictions and delay unnecessary travel as significant winter weather conditions will make travel very hazardous.

It’s funny yet interesting that the ICON continues to show a decent middle ground that would make most happy.

Here is a sampling of the 12z runs that are good for snow for many of us…

Speaking of Good For Snow…most of the 12z models are good for snow for most of CTP. I almost choked on my lunch while reading all of the Deb posts on here… We all don’t live in Lancaster or York county, and even they should at least get a solid Advisory event out of this…. Outside of the NAMs, the rest of 12z says all systems go for Warning level event for the rest of us near I-81 and areas West & North.

CTP actually raised the snow amounts in the Watch area by an inch overnight…. Now 5 to 8 of snow… Winter Storm Watch URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service State College PA 302 AM EST Fri Jan 5 2024 PAZ012-018-019-025>028-034>036-041-042-045-046-049>053-056>059- 063-064-052015- /O.CON.KCTP.WS.A.0001.240106T1200Z-240107T1500Z/ Northern Clinton-Northern Centre-Southern Centre-Blair-Huntingdon- Mifflin-Juniata-Bedford-Fulton-Franklin-Northern Lycoming- Sullivan-Southern Clinton-Southern Lycoming-Union-Snyder-Montour- Northumberland-Columbia-Perry-Dauphin-Schuylkill-Lebanon- Cumberland-Adams- Including the cities of Renovo, Philipsburg, State College, Altoona, Huntingdon, Mount Union, Lewistown, Mifflintown, Bedford, McConnellsburg, Chambersburg, Trout Run, Laporte, Lock Haven, Williamsport, Lewisburg, Selinsgrove, Danville, Sunbury, Shamokin, Bloomsburg, Berwick, Newport, Harrisburg, Hershey, Pottsville, Lebanon, Carlisle, and Gettysburg 302 AM EST Fri Jan 5 2024 ...WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING... * WHAT...Heavy snow and mixed precipitation possible. Total snow accumulations of 5 to 8 inches. * WHERE...Portions of central Pennsylvania. * WHEN...From Saturday morning through Sunday morning. * IMPACTS...The worst travel conditions are expected Saturday afternoon through early Saturday night, especially along Interstates 80 and 81, with snowfall rates in excess of one inch per hour at times creating snow covered roads and poor visibility. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Mixed precipitation will cut down on accumulations southeast of Harrisburg and York.

Remember when the storm for tomorrow was consistently not happening on the long range & medium OP runs. It wasn’t until last Friday when they started to really show the potential for this weekend. Then when it showed, they were mostly suppressed well to the southeast. Some were saying no chance until late January… Point is, lots can change on Op looks once you get to the seven day range.

Lol, I’m surprised no one posted the 6z Herp a Derp 6z High Res Canadian .