Blizzard of 93
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Everything posted by Blizzard of 93
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Light snow currently in Marysville. I will enjoy my snow TV this morning before the flood arrives.
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Yes, good to see the 6z GFS step in the right direction for the 16th.
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I’m saying my prayers…. I would be happy with half of this… Beautiful track…cold air in the pattern… we watch & wait…long way to go, but only a week…not in fantasy range anymore. Here is the 0z Euro
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The 12z Euro yesterday had a juiced up storm that was just a bit warm & brought ice to many in CTP & snow to western areas of CTP. The 0z solution didn’t just come out of nowhere. Long way to go, but this is is the realm of possibility with the players on the field.
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National Weather Service isn’t punting. @frd just shared this in the Mid Atlantic thread.
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Teleconnections on the 12z EPS are mostly favorable once to this weekend through the end of the 15 day run. Translation… No punting.
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The blend of the models today could provide a good event for the 16th. Timing will be everything with the players on the field.
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The 12z Canadian was also a shredder, but the 12z Euro was amped & provided a snow & ice event to CTP this run. Long way to go until this is resolved.
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The 18z GFS was close to giving us a solid event on the 16th, but it got shredded this run as it moved east.
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No reason to punt the rest of January even if we miss on the 16th/17th. I think we have a good chance for a Winter storm in that period. There is plenty of cold that will be entering our region after the storm on Saturday. We will have our chances.
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0z Euro & 0z GFS still have the Winter storm chance around the 16th.
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If the front end potential doesn’t improve for Friday night into Saturday, then our next good Winter storm chance should be on the 16th. Most Ops & ensembles have a storm in that window. Hopefully everything lines up to get a widespread Winter storm for us.
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Maybe snow snow TV for an hour or two before the flood?
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As @Ji would if this was a bad model run…. The Eagles are an epic disaster!
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I would take my chances with this in mid January. A low tracking from the Gulf coast to off of the NC coast should deliver a very good front end snow to mix dependent on the exact final track.
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Very strange depiction indeed on the 12z Euro. It somehow jumps the low from Tennessee to Toledo, OH this run. Long way to go
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In the words of Casey, “Here is your request & dedication…” For me, it would be more snow!
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The GFS still has a storm chance a few days later on the 16th.
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The Canadian is still really trying for front end snow this Friday night into Saturday.
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Good catch! The models have each shown a random run or two the last few days showing how we could score at least a solid front end next weekend. We still have time, but need good trends overall on the models today. This ICON run would be nice.
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Rates backed off & back to light rain, but it made it feel Wintry with the snow cover this morning.
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Light rain has switched over to snow now in Marysville with flake size increasing.
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The GFS likes the period just after next weekend on the 16th with a storm tracking to our southeast.
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We still have the chance for a little front end snow next weekend, but most models have storm cutting for the lakes & bringing good snow to the Midwest. Still time for changes, but the best hope with this storm next weekend is to improve the front end with a flatter track that doesn’t gain much as much latitude.
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Yes, they got it right with the 3.3” of snow for yesterday at MDT officially with the Overnight final Daily Climate Summary. Lol, I didn’t go down to the airport!
