Blizzard of 93
Members-
Posts
12,208 -
Joined
-
Last visited
Content Type
Profiles
Blogs
Forums
American Weather
Media Demo
Store
Gallery
Everything posted by Blizzard of 93
-
Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs
Blizzard of 93 replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Happy birthday @sauss06 ! -
Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs
Blizzard of 93 replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
-
Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs
Blizzard of 93 replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
That’s my close #2 best week in my opinion. The historic first storm in 96 places it just above 2010 for me. Either way, they are a clear #1 & #2 for best snow weeks in the last 30 years or more. -
Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs
Blizzard of 93 replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
The overnight Op runs are coming around to the idea of a moisture laden storm that rides up the coast. The 0z Euro liked the 18th, but missed just to our south this run. Plenty of time & potential in this period. -
Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs
Blizzard of 93 replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Great memories from the Blizzard of 96 back when I was a freshman in college. That week of weather with the Blizzard dropping 2 feet near Harrisburg, the mid week over performing Clipper that brought a few inches, to the end of week significant coast that brought another foot to the Harrisburg area still stands as the greatest week of weather in my lifetime. -
Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs
Blizzard of 93 replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
0z GFS is looking a lot more interesting for the chance on the 15th. Definitely room for possible improvement at the surface with this look at H5. -
Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs
Blizzard of 93 replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
18z GFS shows a couple of opportunities between the 15th & 19th. The first chance is light this run, but could have been more if the pieces phased better. The second chance misses south this run, but again the potential is there. -
-
That run was close to delivering at least 3 events by day 16. I think it’s just a matter of time until we are keying in on a specific trackable storm.
-
Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs
Blizzard of 93 replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
-
-
Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs
Blizzard of 93 replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
0z GFS for the 15th has a low approaching from the south that rides up & off of the coast. It was closer to something more this run, but most of us at this point would take it as depicted this run. -
-
Of course…but just showing what the model shows at this time. It should just be used to get a general idea. Hopefully it’s on the right track…
-
The Euro Weeklies today look even better in terms of temperatures & precip for the 7 day period ending January 31. Bottom line if the ensembles & Weeklies have the right general idea, we should have chances for Winter storms for mid month through the end of the month.
-
Today’s Euro Weeklies agree with liking this same period for a better looking amount of precip with below normal temperatures for the 7 day window ending the 25th.
-
As you mentioned, ensemble guidance again today showed a workable pattern for week 2 that should offer chances for Winter storms. Good agreement on the ensembles as well.
-
Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs
Blizzard of 93 replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
As you mentioned, ensemble guidance again today showed a workable pattern for week 2 that should offer chances for Winter storms. Good agreement on the ensembles as well. -
-
Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs
Blizzard of 93 replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Enjoy the 4 day warm up… -
Exactly, the window opens early NEXT week…
-
Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs
Blizzard of 93 replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
12z EPS day 10 to 15 still looks workable and day 15 ends on a good note as well. It’s just a matter of time until something trackable shows on the Op run again. -
12z EPS day 10 to 15 still looks workable and day 15 ends on a good note as well. It’s just a matter of time until something trackable shows on the Op run again.
-
Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs
Blizzard of 93 replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
The Ops are changing run to run. Ensembles -see my post above & yesterday & the day before…- as they have shown for several days, are showing a workable pattern starting early next week. -
Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs
Blizzard of 93 replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
The better workable pattern is moving up closer in time. Here are the day 8 to 13 looks for the 5 day period on the 0z EPS, 6z AI EPS & 6z GEFS.
