Blizzard of 93

The 6z RGEM brings a widespread 1 to 3 to 3 to the LSV.

CTP point & click for Harrisburg: Saturday Night Snow showers. Low around 24. Northwest wind 3 to 6 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New snow accumulation of 1 to 2 inches possible.

0z NAM brings 2 to 3 inches for most of the LSV on Sunday am.

The 30 day temperature anomaly on today’s Euro Weeklies is near normal for the period from late December into late January for this region. Hopefully we have chances for Winter storms with near normal being good enough in January.

The 30 day temperature anomaly on today’s Euro Weeklies is near normal for the period from late December into late January for this region. Hopefully we have chances for Winter storms with near normal being good enough in January.

Agreed & there is still plenty of model variability at this range. I like our chances for a solid Advisory level 1 to 3 inch snow chance with a few lucky spots getting 4 inches. Ratios should be favorable to max out whatever amount of precip we can get.

CTP thoughts on our weekend snow chance. To the south of the main upper low center near Lake Superior, another fast moving system will streak around the southern periphery of the upper trough from the Northern Plains through the Ohio Valley and into the Central Appalachians and Mid Atlantic Saturday night through Sunday morning. The upper trough is fcst to dig/amplify as it pivots eastward and should drive coastal low development while dragging a pocket of -20C air at 850mb into southwest PA/WV by Sunday afternoon. Odds are rising for a broad area of expanding/accumulating snow Saturday night through early Sunday across CPA. NBM probs for >3" are highest over the southern Laurels and southeast portion of the Lower Susquehanna Valley. The arrival of arctic air ensures snow character will be very dry and fluffy.

6z Euro still looks good for 1 to 3 inches snow chance on Sunday am for the LSV.

Good 18z Euro run for the LSV for the early Sunday chance.

6z Euro is looking good for the late Saturday night into Sunday chance of an Advisory type of potential.

18z Euro keeps us in the game for the late Saturday night into Sunday chance.

Yes, I noticed on my way across the bridge this morning. Super early for sure.

6z GFS & Euro both bring 3 to 4 inches of snow to the LSV by Sunday morning.

Then, 6z Euro & GFS both show a potential Advisory level chance late Saturday night into early Sunday.

6z Euro & GFS both give us a little light snow overnight Friday.

8 in Marysville for the low & currently.

In the shorter term, the 0z GFS still likes the Saturday night chance for an Advisory type of event.

0z Canadian shows a chance on the 18th.

0z Canadian shows a chance on the 18th.

18z GFS delivered the chance of a CTP special on Saturday night.

Let’s go!!!! The Winter thread is here!

0z Euro shows a snow chance on Friday night.

0z Euro shows a snow chance on Friday night.

I hope that you had a great day at Elizabeth Farms! We took our 2 daughters there for around the last 8 years. They have a nice set up there to see Santa & get a good photo that often became our Christmas card. We would then take a ride on their horse drawn wagons that take you out to the tree cutting area. We just enjoyed the ride, even though we’ve always had an artificial tree, lol. Then we’d get some cocoa in their gift shop while we warmed up. Our kids always picked out a new ornament for our tree each year. Enjoy it my friend, because time flies! My daughters are now 12 & 14 and this is the first year that we did not go to Elizabeth Farms because they both now have out grown going to see Santa!

Last year the Euro seasonal run in December had above normal for January and last January ended up well below normal.