Blizzard of 93

Back to tracking… The 18z GFS this run shows the chance of a Christmas Day icy mix.

I just looked back at the posts & didn’t see anything more than usual snow event banter & Observations.

See my post above. I have no idea where he got that idea. It was clearly a couple a long time posters joking around.

If you are referring to me, I was joking around with @canderson last night when I asked if he had some beers. He has posted many times over the years about having some weekend or travel drinks. He had bad luck with snow in the city last night & I was joking around with him. I don’t recall any attempt at him coming after my or anyone else’s character. We go way back on here, so I was just having a little fun, but I believed his observations. Now that I know he’s done with drinking at this time, I won’t joke about it anymore. Let’s keep the peace in here please. We have a good group.

I ended up at 1.8” of snow. Radar looked great here with what appeared to be heavier returns at times overnight, so I thought I was on my way to over 3, but the rates & flake size did not match up. It’s a beautiful Winter morning with all surfaces snow covered. Congrats to those that cashed in on this event!

Lol, you can’t make this stuff up. Dauphin county was Advised at 3:35 am. I’m sure that really helped to alert the public in the Capital region… Winter Weather Advisory URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service State College PA 335 AM EST Sun Dec 14 2025 PAZ057-141300- /O.EXA.KCTP.WW.Y.0025.000000T0000Z-251214T1300Z/ Dauphin- Including the cities of Harrisburg and Hershey 335 AM EST Sun Dec 14 2025 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EST THIS MORNING... * WHAT...Snow. Total snow accumulations 2 to 4 inches. * WHERE...Dauphin County. * WHEN...Until 8 AM EST this morning.

Currently having the best rates & flake size of the event. Eyeballing around 1 inch as of 12:45 am in Marysville.

How many beers tonight?

One last look at the RGEM & NBM at 0z.

Roads caving in Marysville as well. Temp is 32

I like seeing the warmer temperatures in southeast PA, such as the 40 at Philly International at the 9 pm. Ob. The temperature contrast with colder temps in NW PA could help us in the LSV with the better precipitation rates eventually.

I’m enjoying it as well! Beautiful Winter night.

The storm is on track for a solid Advisory event for the majority of the LSV.

Lol, it’s still snowing back to Cincinnati, OH. Radar looks great.

Light snow in Marysville with car tops & grass dusted. Fluff factor looks good on the car tops which should help when rates pick up. Temp is 32.

18z Euro with its best run yet for the event for the Harrisburg area with bringing 3 inches of Non-Advised snow tonight.

Lol, Lanco is looking good for the event.

18z RGEM

Indeed

It’s a start, but they need to add Dauphin & Skook… I’m not sure they are aware that most of the population of Dauphin county is in the southern half… They just updated with this: NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM SUNDAY MORNING/... Mid afternoon changes. Some model guidance has a bit heavier QPF across the northern edge of where we had an advisory out for the far SE counties, thus adding in a couple more counties into the advisory.

What’s wrong with an Advisory for 1 to 3 with a few spots maybe seeing 4 ? I don’t understand their reasoning. We don’t live in the mountains down here, so the message needs to be clear for average people that don’t pay close attention to the weather. Likely we’ll get an Advisory for Dauphin, Lebanon & Skook as the event is underway, which would be too late to help people with travel decisions.

A few more counties have been graced with a HWO… this Not good enough messaging… Most People need to see at least an Advisory to consider not going out or altering their plans, especially on a Saturday night near the holidays… Hazardous Weather Outlook Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service State College PA 245 PM EST Sat Dec 13 2025 PAZ057>059-063-064-141945- Dauphin-Schuylkill-Lebanon-Cumberland-Adams- 245 PM EST Sat Dec 13 2025 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central Pennsylvania. .DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight. Brief heavy snow is possible this evening and early tonight. Most locations will pick up 1 to 2 inches, but spot amounts of 3 or 4 are possible, especially on the higher elevations. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday. The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

I’m happy that our Lancaster & York posters seem to be in a good spot for this one. MDT should be able to add to the seasonal tally as well.

18z National Blend of Models.

I think CTP & local news in the LSV need to update their forecasts based on short term modeling last night & today. I’m seeing a lot of “coating to an inch or two” forecasts. Most model have a good chunk of the LSV in the 2 to 4 inch range. This of course is a busy time of year with people out shopping & holiday parties, etc. The media & CTP need to put better messaging out today in my opinion which could help keep some people safe.