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Blizzard of 93

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  1. Blizzard of 93
    @brooklynwx99 posted this in another thread earlier this evening. “this speaks for itself... AIFS-ENS is very similar to Feb 21. not advertising impacts like that, obviously, but it's becoming clear that this setup holds high end potential. we'll see how things trend in the coming days, but man that is uncanny”
  2. Blizzard of 93
    18z EPS & 18z AI EPS look great as well for the Sunday chance. Lots of maps are posted in the Mid Atlantic thread for your viewing pleasure.
  3. Blizzard of 93
    Yes, indeed, hopefully we reel this one in for Sunday.
  4. Blizzard of 93
    I know, but I didn’t believe it, but here we are, lol!
  5. Blizzard of 93
    Lol, this worthless storm is infuriating me to the bitter end… I I don’t think that I have EVER seen a freaking change over happen well to my South east prior to my change over to snow in Marysville. Normally the change over happens first in Altoona, State College, Newport, Marysville, MDT, then Lancaster l, etc… Not tonight!
  6. Blizzard of 93
    18z GFS AI & 18z GEFS AI also have the 23rd chance.
  7. Blizzard of 93
    18z Euro AI has the 23rd chance.
  8. Blizzard of 93
  9. Blizzard of 93
    The window on the 23rd on the 12z EPS has a favorable Miller B look this run that could lead to a potential winter storm chance.
  10. Blizzard of 93
    Here is the 12z EPS 24 hour precip & snow for the 23rd chance.
  11. Blizzard of 93
    The window on the 23rd on the 12z EPS has a favorable Miller B look this run that could lead to a potential winter storm chance.
  12. Blizzard of 93
    Even after whatever table scraps we may get this evening, the 12z Euro & Euro AI say that the pattern through the end of this month looks to be active with a few Winter storm chances.
  13. Blizzard of 93
    12z GFS still is showing 1 to 2 inches of snow tonight for the LSV.
  14. Blizzard of 93
    The “better” runs early yesterday had the LSV getting .4 to .5 of precip that produced 3 to 4 inches of snow on the snow maps. Now, in that same time period, the models are closer to .2 of precip, so that’s only producing around 1 inch or snow or less in recent runs.
  15. Blizzard of 93
    It’s all about precip rates. If we would get good precip, it would snow. Marginal situations require good rates to overcome & snow.
  16. Blizzard of 93
    0z GFS keeps hope alive for tomorrow evening with up to 2 inches for the LSV this run.
  17. Blizzard of 93
    I mean, just look at thIs from @Newman in the Philly thread. Just a tiny difference between 12z and 18z RRFS. Something must've gotten into the NOAA mesoscale products at 12z LOL
  18. Blizzard of 93
    Under 48 hours, nine times out of 10, once a trend starts, it usually either builds momentum or levels out. These continual all over the place rug pulls are brutal with this potential event.
  19. Blizzard of 93
    I am so ready to be done tracking this system! 2 weeks ago, many of us started watching this weekend period. It went from potential major storm to no storm to late yesterday looking like a potential recovery to an Advisory event to now who the bleep knows!
  20. Blizzard of 93
    18z just cut back as well. About .20 less precip for the LSV, so snow amounts are now less than 2 inches for most of us this run.
  21. Blizzard of 93
    I do like seeing the healthy looking established precip shield already covering most of Missouri & extending the whole way down to the Texas Gulf coast. The ingredients are there for us to over perform if we get the rates in southern PA tomorrow evening.
  22. Blizzard of 93
    Lol, .49 for ITT!
  23. Blizzard of 93
    51 on my home Marysville station. Felt great to go out without a coat!
  24. Blizzard of 93
    12z Euro precip improved for the LSV at 12z vs. 6z.
  25. Blizzard of 93
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