Blizzard of 93
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Everything posted by Blizzard of 93
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Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs
Blizzard of 93 replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Global ensembles overnight continued to ramp up snow amounts for week 2 through day 16. We should at least have chances for Winter weather tracking starting next week & beyond. -
Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs
Blizzard of 93 replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
The best part about 0z so far for the 15th is that both the GFS & Canadian have an organized low that brings snow to the region. The last few days have shown a random run here or there that have looked interesting, but tonight it’s good to see both models with a decent system that snows on us or very close by. -
The best part about 0z so far for the 15th is that both the GFS & Canadian have an organized low that brings snow to the region. The last few days have shown a random run here or there that have looked interesting, but tonight it’s good to see both models with a decent system that snows on us.
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@mitchnick @Ji The ensembles are starting to beef up their snow amounts today for the last 10 days of their runs. 12z Canadian ensemble got it started. 18z GEFS & 18z AI EPS really ramped up. Hopefully this continues to build up as most of the potential is from day 9 onward.
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Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs
Blizzard of 93 replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Happy birthday @sauss06 ! -
Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs
Blizzard of 93 replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
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Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs
Blizzard of 93 replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
That’s my close #2 best week in my opinion. The historic first storm in 96 places it just above 2010 for me. Either way, they are a clear #1 & #2 for best snow weeks in the last 30 years or more. -
Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs
Blizzard of 93 replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
The overnight Op runs are coming around to the idea of a moisture laden storm that rides up the coast. The 0z Euro liked the 18th, but missed just to our south this run. Plenty of time & potential in this period. -
Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs
Blizzard of 93 replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Great memories from the Blizzard of 96 back when I was a freshman in college. That week of weather with the Blizzard dropping 2 feet near Harrisburg, the mid week over performing Clipper that brought a few inches, to the end of week significant coast that brought another foot to the Harrisburg area still stands as the greatest week of weather in my lifetime. -
Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs
Blizzard of 93 replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
0z GFS is looking a lot more interesting for the chance on the 15th. Definitely room for possible improvement at the surface with this look at H5. -
Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs
Blizzard of 93 replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
18z GFS shows a couple of opportunities between the 15th & 19th. The first chance is light this run, but could have been more if the pieces phased better. The second chance misses south this run, but again the potential is there. -
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That run was close to delivering at least 3 events by day 16. I think it’s just a matter of time until we are keying in on a specific trackable storm.
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Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs
Blizzard of 93 replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
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Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs
Blizzard of 93 replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
0z GFS for the 15th has a low approaching from the south that rides up & off of the coast. It was closer to something more this run, but most of us at this point would take it as depicted this run. -
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Of course…but just showing what the model shows at this time. It should just be used to get a general idea. Hopefully it’s on the right track…
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The Euro Weeklies today look even better in terms of temperatures & precip for the 7 day period ending January 31. Bottom line if the ensembles & Weeklies have the right general idea, we should have chances for Winter storms for mid month through the end of the month.
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Today’s Euro Weeklies agree with liking this same period for a better looking amount of precip with below normal temperatures for the 7 day window ending the 25th.
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As you mentioned, ensemble guidance again today showed a workable pattern for week 2 that should offer chances for Winter storms. Good agreement on the ensembles as well.
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Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs
Blizzard of 93 replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
As you mentioned, ensemble guidance again today showed a workable pattern for week 2 that should offer chances for Winter storms. Good agreement on the ensembles as well. -
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Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs
Blizzard of 93 replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Enjoy the 4 day warm up… -
Exactly, the window opens early NEXT week…
