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CT Valley Snowman

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Everything posted by CT Valley Snowman

  1. Haven't heard the sleet pounding the windows yet but it's coming
  2. Like I said earlier, I would rather the front end overperform before we mix or slot. I don't trust backside snow filling back in as the bands tend to pivot and rot and weaken in the valley.
  3. Win the tourney and bring the trophy, good vibe, and 12+ snow amounts back home with you. Hopefully we do get a couple of SE ticks at showtime.
  4. I'm leary of backside snow, especially here in the valley. I feel like I consistently see bands of snow over the western hills that rot there and pivot and than weaken as they push eastward as a system is occluding and weakening. Sometimes the band reforms over the Massif or the eastern hills. I'd rather take my chances on CAD and my lattitude in the valley for a longer front end thumping or a slower mixing process.
  5. I think there's a W to E component as well. NW CT Litchfield county hills 9-12+ up near the Ma line while the rest of N CT is more like 6-10, I would go 4-8 more in Central CT near I- 84 but that's splitting hairs.
  6. Goofus looked a bit better/ colder here. Expecting 6-10 range depending on mixing, backside banding etc as this area seems to be "riding the line" so to speak with the mixing /rain and dry slotting issues that are more pronounced and prolonged the further SE you go in the region.
  7. Could this type of setup cause a more pronounced shadowing effect in the CT River Valley?
  8. GEFS at 06z Monday, a nice look for south of the Pike especially.
  9. I agree to a certain extent but weight and body frame is a definite big factor.
  10. I'd take a mix ending as accumlating snow and run for Dec 1st. Would rather whiff than all wet.
  11. Life is fragile. Hug your loved ones a little closer tonight. RIP Nate and thoughts /prayers go out to his family and friends.
  12. 1. Rocktober snowbomb: 13.5 inches of destructive cement on leafed trees, massive tree damage/ power outages. 2. June 2011 tornado : Passed just north, impacted family and friends. Saw the aftermath firsthand. 3. Blizzard Nemo: 2 feet, crazy wind and drifts, epic death band was worse just to my south. 4. July 2015 Maine microburst. Damaging microburst sent us home early from our vacation at the family cabin in Mount Vernon Maine. 5. Feb 5 2001 snowstorm: forecasted 6-10 inches on the day of storm, got 2 feet in 12 hours. Honorable Mention: Jan 11 blizzard, Hurricane Gloria.
  13. Man the storm sucked here but 2.9 is ridiculous. You need to check the time stamp on that. 4 is the absolute minimum I could see posted here and 5 is more realistic. BDL came in at 7 and there was better banding west of the river but I would toss the 2.9
  14. GFS was actually pretty decent here. Terrible elsewhere. I think the banding setup just killed us and this was not just a function of elevation. If the storm track was a bit closer to the coast we would have gotten into the CCB but being between the western deform bands and the CCB combined with the valley and time of day was just a killer. We probably would have done better with the prior tracks that were a bit further offshore as well. Anyways Congratulations to Ray and all the big winners tonight. A historic night for some and one helluva storm. Can't say we haven't had our share of tracking to do here in this action packed March.
  15. Not using a board here so I suppose official totals would a bit more. Current depth is 4.2. .4 new past hour. I'll go with a 5 spot. Official protocol may have been closer to 6 here with board/clearing etc,. but I'm usually not around during an entire storm.
  16. I'll go with 4.5 here, current depth is 3.8 after melting, sublimation etc. Steady light snow.
  17. For every 10 storms around here it seems as though 6-7 underperform, 2-3 meet expectations, and 1 suprises and that might be generous. I can't blame the western mass guys out of Springfield for being so conservative sometimes. It's usually a zero sum game around here. Either the CCB banding parks itself right overhead or we get a perfect deform for hours or things just crap out and it's arctic sand and when temps are marginal early and late season there is no margin for error. . With most of the biggies it seems as though the beginning of the storm usually starts slow and you feel behind the 8 ball trying to catch up. Just about at climo for the year now so I guess I should be grateful for that.
  18. I'm supposedly under darker returns on radar now, snow growth has improved and I've gone from flurries to light snow lol. Was out earlier so not sure what my peak depth might have been but I'm about 3-3.5 on the grass right now.
  19. Just a horrible combination of in between banding features, low elevation, and time of day. Areas to both my west and east have done better than here. Even most of the Berks and Litchfield Hills is 6-12. Only positive is faster melting and less cleanup but really a big time disappointment overall.
  20. Awful storm here. Paltry rates most of the day. Maybe 3 on the grass. Sky brightens at times, main roads are melting, band is sitting 3 miles to my west for about 4 hours. Porked .
  21. If I do move up it would most likely be to east slopes of the southern Berks or the Northwest Hills. Probably not way up on the spine but on the escarpment at like 1000-1200 where you can still get to civilization in 20-25 minutes. Granville MA is like 1200 but you can get down to Westfield in like 15 minutes. North Granby and Barkhamsted CT are similiar.
  22. Disgusting. One of the worst storms ever. My Dad was working in Dalton Ma and was stunned at how little snow we had at home. I kept looking up at the sky literally seeing the flakes pounding high up in the air but never making it to the ground.
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