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Orangeburgwx

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Everything posted by Orangeburgwx

  1. 0z: 8/50 ensembles give me snow 12z: 31/50
  2. FV3 on pivotal gives me .75" of snow and .4" ZR on the Kuchera
  3. No I won't, I will simply flat out admit I was wrong
  4. Southern edge is almost down to Columbia now... Let's see what the FV3 has in store
  5. Sorry everyone if it seems that im being a weenie, will try to curb my excitement...
  6. Banana high is a term used when a high (or pair of highs) bends around an area of low pressure and blocks it. It happened with Hurricane Florence and set it on a path to the Carolinas instead of OTS. The GFS has a track record (pun intended) for showing that BS about pile driving into HPs, it isn't going to happen, so the low will track further south as has been shown with both the GEFS (the GFS ensembles) and the EPS (Euro ensembles). That major suppression is why even my area is going to get at least SL/FL (Sleet or Flurries), I hope this helps.
  7. No doubt about that, everyone is going to get something (which is why I started the thread) now the question is who gets what and how much
  8. Less than a week out and all indicies show both Carolinas getting something... So let's bring this one all the way home
  9. 8/50 show me snow... I'm starting to like those chances
  10. Walmartsl, Lidl, and Aldi here in town is already sold out of water, bread, milk, and eggs
  11. Snow line ticked a little further south, not getting my hopes up but is it too much to ask just to see some flakes at least?!?!
  12. https://weather.us/model-charts/euro/orangeburg/m17_snow-depth-in/20181209-0600z.html Literally 1/50... But man I hope that stays on the table...
  13. Just like my Browns, I'm still in the hunt! I don't care if it is just a dusting, in my lifetime I have not had accumulating December snowfall this early. Other than that miracle October storm last year, only snow I have seen has been on Veterans Day, Jan., Feb., and March
  14. .LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/... A drier and colder air mass will build into the area on Tuesday as a de-amplifying upper trough crosses the forecast area. A second upper trough will move across the Ohio Valley into the Mid-Atlantic on Wednesday which will bring a reinforcing shot of cold air to the region through Thursday. Surface high pressure will be transient and shift off the coast by Friday with zonal westerly 500mb flow, and this will allow for a slight warm up to end the work week. The next storm system will develop over the Plains on Friday with low pressure developing over the lower Mississippi Valley and spreading moisture into our area just beyond the forecast period. Temperatures will be near normal on Tuesday then fall below normal on Wed/Thu before warming back on to near normal on Friday.
  15. Nope, I get left out since the snow stops dead on the Orangeburg/Calhoun county line... I come up empty unless the CAD overcomes the model (again)
  16. *angry disappointed growling* Freaking snow holed
  17. Any runs show deep (aka down into my area) snowfall?
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