Orangeburgwx

Short vid I made: Sent from my LML212VL using Tapatalk

I got a $50 Android phone so no offense taken Wow[emoji23][emoji23][emoji23][emoji23]. I got my flakes, so my winter is made Sent from my LML212VL using Tapatalk

Apologies for the poor quality Sent from my LML212VL using Tapatalk

I got light snow showers Sent from my LML212VL using Tapatalk

Light mix down here in Orangeburg (multiple family members around town have been texting me about it) Sent from my LML212VL using Tapatalk

When is the next SREF? Sent from my LML212VL using Tapatalk

Got a pic of the mean? Sent from my LML212VL using Tapatalk

GEFS cut back again Sent from my LML212VL using Tapatalk

Are the temp trends we have today a factor for Thursday? Cause TWC went with a high of 64, NWS 67, but it is only 56 here with a light rain. Will underbusting our highs now pay off later? Sent from my LML212VL using Tapatalk

Triple threat cage match CMC/ICON/NAM vs. GFS vs. ECMWF/UKIE Models are going to be swinging punches today, lots of shifts Sent from my LML212VL using Tapatalk

Hard to bet against Euro/Ukie, but the ECMWF does not have a good record the last few events... Sent from my LML212VL using Tapatalk

How did that go? Sent from my LML212VL using Tapatalk

6z 3km and 12km NAM... Both at hr60 Sent from my LML212VL using Tapatalk

3am Disco: && .SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/... Cold front to slip south through the FA Wednesday, while upper energy shifts to our east. It appears that most of the precip will be shifting towards the south and east during the day. Cooler temps to also filter in behind the front. Slow moving front to remain to our south Thursday while another upper disturbance moves east across the region ahead of an upper trough digging into the region. A surface wave is progged to develop off the SE coast and move NE. Cooler air will continue to work into our FA from the strong parent Canadian high to our NW while guidance continues to indicate precipitation for our FA Thursday into Thursday night. Some questions about precipitation type Thursday nt, mainly to our NE. Latest model ensemble means indicate some light snow accum across our E/NE FA. Local top down tool indicates a period of rain/snow mix Thu nt for the central and east FA. Confidence limited due to several key factors in our local perfect storm approach for significant winter weather not being met. Main issue is cold air not being in place before the onset of precip but rather is coming in as the precipitation/moisture is shifting out. Even if a period of light snow occurs, surface temps appear will be above freezing and warm soil temps would lead to melting and reduced impacts. Will leave in rain/snow mix for Thu nt but will not indicate snow accum at this time. Sent from my LML212VL using Tapatalk

found the UKMO... It trended cooler at the surface but still too warm (12z and 0z runs for 6pm Thursday). Sent from my LML212VL using Tapatalk

More suppressed than 12z? Sent from my LML212VL using Tapatalk

To those who want it: Sent from my LML212VL using Tapatalk

It is also almost 1am, people are tired, and several of us are trying to calm our hearts after Ryan Newman's wreck in the Daytona 500. Anyway, here are the 0z GFS suites Sent from my LML212VL using Tapatalk

I'm getting 2001 flashbacks... #PrayersforNewman Sent from my LML212VL using Tapatalk

What site you use for that graph? Sent from my LML212VL using Tapatalk

18z GFS suites Sent from my LML212VL using Tapatalk

That is just the globals, but the fact the GEM is beating out the FV3 is a crying shame Sent from my LML212VL using Tapatalk

You raise a good point, this storm hasn't even been sampled yet. Way too much time left to get on one model over another Sent from my LML212VL using Tapatalk

This should be taken into consideration when watching runs, not just in winter, but across the board... Sent from my LML212VL using Tapatalk

NAM handles the extremely short range better than the globles (look at the last couple events), granted the hr84 NAM is to be taken only for verbatem from its track record but there is a lot of time to move pieces. Sent from my LML212VL using Tapatalk