Orangeburgwx
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Everything posted by Orangeburgwx
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NW trend factoring in there... Now the LP was over Savannah Sent from my LML212VL using Tapatalk
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It is just ensemble number 6, but it lines up with the CMC/ICON but more juiced (and yes Mack you get in on the dinner) https://climate.cod.edu/data/forecast/GEFS/2020012512/SE/GEFSSE_prec_snens_210.png Sent from my LML212VL using Tapatalk
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Hasn't updated since the 21st Sent from my LML212VL using Tapatalk
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GEFS only out to hr234, but there is one beefer that matches the ICON... (and will make [mention=7528]mackerel_sky[/mention] cry) Sent from my LML212VL using Tapatalk
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Snow in N. Alabama, extreme NW Ga, Eastern Tenn., and along the NC mountains at hr258 Sent from my LML212VL using Tapatalk
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953mb Nor'easter... Sent from my LML212VL using Tapatalk
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Feb. 1st LP was closer to the coast and a full 6mb deeper Sent from my LML212VL using Tapatalk
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You already know they're coming... (But won't be me) Sent from my LML212VL using Tapatalk
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Possible SSW event on the 2nd, hopefully we get the main TPV cold blob Sent from my LML212VL using Tapatalk
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(I will take that 6" thumper) Feb. 8th huh... That storm has been on track since it was d15 (even a few EURO ensembles have been flinging it around), highly ominous date too... Sent from my LML212VL using Tapatalk
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Better than watching torch 10 months at a time Sent from my LML212VL using Tapatalk
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Ensembles 19 threw down one hell of a haymaker... Large portion from Texas to Both Carolinas getting 5"+ from the 6th-8th (haven't seem that in weeks) Shorter term (the 1st), only 3/20 ensembles have snow for NC/SC outside the mountains Sent from my LML212VL using Tapatalk
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@mackerel_sky ensemble 17... Nough said https://weather.cod.edu/forecast/ Sent from my LML212VL using Tapatalk
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My opinion for this winter: We all got Houston Astro'ed Sent from my LML212VL using Tapatalk
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Don't you dare throw that analog at me... that was 47 years ago Mack, only way I will see 28" is if I move to Maine! Sent from my LML212VL using Tapatalk
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Shoutout to@eyewall for starting *NEXT* winter's long term thread Sent from my LML212VL using Tapatalk
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Good god, talk about an early jump off the cliff... Also, CFS only goes out to October, and it is above average temps from April to the end of the run (for now) Sent from my LML212VL using Tapatalk
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Suppression city Sent from my LML212VL using Tapatalk
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Nasty squall line ripping up southern Alabama on the 25th (hr204) Sent from my LML212VL using Tapatalk
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Yeah it was, and go figure on the sounding I got screwed by a *100mb* thick warm nose (850mb-950mb with 5C temps), if it was not there (700mb was cold enough) it would have been pure snow. Talk about sickening, but still lots of time and wiggle room to bring it back down so not worried Sent from my LML212VL using Tapatalk
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Thanks guys, reason I asked was based off that 29th storm, I would start with 6" of snow (10:1 ratio), then get decked by 1.25" of ZR (1:1 ratio) Sent from my LML212VL using Tapatalk
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I know that Snowfall has a ratio to liquid (6:1, 10:1, etc.) is ZR a 1:1 ratio with liquid? Sent from my LML212VL using Tapatalk
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I posted this on the MA forum, but I went and looked at the latest GFS 14 day interconnections EPO: strongly positive (of course..) PNA: Goes positive (bonus) NAO: dips negative around the 26th (surprising I know... Now it needs to stick) AO: dips slightly negative around the 29th Get the EPO to tank and we will be in good standing with an almost ideal set up Sent from my LML212VL using Tapatalk So@mackerel_sky there is a glimmer of hope
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I went and looked at the latest GFS 14 day interconnections EPO: strongly positive (of course..) PNA: Goes positive (bonus) NAO: dips negative around the 26th AO: dips slightly negative around the 29th Get the EPO to tank and we will be in good standing Sent from my LML212VL using Tapatalk
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It is literally a freaking fire hose zonal flow at d10 with all cold air blocked from even entering Canada... On to the EPS and hope the cold returns in the 11-15 day timeframe Sent from my LML212VL using Tapatalk
