WinterWolf
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Everything posted by WinterWolf
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Ya, I mean that isn’t bad at all. 5 days out still. Every run isn’t gonna give us a cat 5 as much as we’d love for it too.
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FXWX said earlier that he wouldn’t mind seeing the GFS weaker and east, and the EURO come west some at 0z. He said that would be a good compromise for now. This might be that first step.
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Ya that’s a huge shift for sure.
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This is the One…Trinity.
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Zero usefulness.
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The ironic part of that picture, is that as the Euro went ballistic at 0z Saturday night…the GFS lost it on that 0z run, after having it 2 consecutive cycles in a row(12z and18z..just like today) that day. So, will the Euro jump on board tonight at 0z, and the GFS lose it, like back on Saturday. How crazy would that be?
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There have been small signs it wants to. EPS improved some too…so there have been some small subtle signs.
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I think he was talking to the Jersey guy ..SnoSki?
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For sure…we’re not gonna know which one is more correct right now. There are valid reasons for both sides of the coin currently. We need to just wait and see how this goes…doesn’t seem possible, but this is still 5 days out. Be nice if the 18z GFS can put two in a row together(it did it Saturday) …that would be encouraging.
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Me too.
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These are not the same.
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Absolutely.
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Btw, nice steady light snow here the last hour..coating. We were progged for zero. So a small win with this thing.
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I said yesterday it would probably be Wednesday before we knew for sure what was going to happen with this. Looks to be so. And let’s see what the EPS looks like?
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And these are the things that can’t be seen at 7+ day leads, that can change things in either direction unfortunately/or fortunately depending on one’s perspective.
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Let’s see what kind of antics 12z throws at us in a little while. This thing has more plot twists than a mystery novel..
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I think we just did…in the form of these different sw’s that have changed this picture now…and probably not for the better. Definitely has made things more complicated.
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I think that has changed now…lots of different things have happened, entered the picture since yesterday. This isn’t the same set up anymore.
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This isn’t just two streams phasing anymore…unfortunately it’s become much more complicated than that now.
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Feb 1, 2021 was a very good storm here.
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I want to see the Euro…but I’m starting to fade. Who’s staying up for it? Jerry I know you’ll be here.
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I hear ya..but I don’t think anybody is in any spot with this yet. It’s been all over the place since it came back to life yesterday at 12z. And it seems to be getting more complicated as we progress. So it’s anybody’s guess at the moment what it ultimately becomes, and where. Beats cold and dry with nothing going on as many thought just 36 hours ago.
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These are all just provisional solutions as we see how modeling tries to figure this all out. This is the fun part…keeps the suspense going.
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That was 16 I think? No?
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Absolutely.
