WinterWolf
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Everything posted by WinterWolf
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No doubt, that Could certainly be the case. I’m thinking something small is a decent possibility from what we see/know currently. In part, the Evolution of the Midweek system that isn’t known just yet, will play in to how other things ultimately evolve with this. -
Being we started eyeing this from a long way out…I don’t know if that idea was ever truly established..except for maybe in theory. I feel some type of wintry event is still a possibility sometime next weekend. Other than that, any other finer details are still too vague.
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Oh Ya it’s over…no need to look at anything else now. Check back in on Friday and see if anything changed? Probably not though.
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This run I guess it wasn’t lol….lots of continuity there too(not). OP runs gonna Op run.
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That’s if you believe the GFS.
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Improvements in mid range modeling? You probably know more than me, but I haven’t seen too many improvements the last couple years in that regard.
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Yes, this is my point. This has a long way to go.
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Lots of moving parts…this will take time to figure out.
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I think so too. Just another solution at this point, as we go through the model cinema.
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We’ll gladly take a smaller event…let’s get a few inches, and run. Yes.
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Oh of course, yes…was just commenting on it as is. Personally for my liking…if it can’t be a region wide NE hit, I’d love a few here, and let NNE/Maine get it good. That would work for my plans.
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Good for most actually.
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Nothing wrong with that. I think we’d all take that..especially right before Xmas.
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Yup, That’s always a possibility. Yesterday we had runs that had it suppressed. These are all possible.
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Yup…shred that shit box up. Now that we want that to happen, it’ll hang on lol. If we were hoping for it to stay together, it’d be gone in a jiff.
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Absolutely agree. But as I pointed out to Kitz, these systems have been morphing right up to go time it seems the last couple years(or modeling has been off?). This thing has a long road to go whether we see good trends today, or not.
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Agree. But we know this movie, in so far as how it usually goes. Modeling the last few years is volatile right up to go time it seems. The rug gets pulled out at 6 and 12 hr leads of late. But ya, be nice to see a decent trend again at 12z.
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One run to another it changes…bad at 6z, better at 12z lol. 6 hrs ago it was a good run at 0z, 12 hrs ago it was bad at 18z, zero continuity. All we really have so far is a signal of a system a week from now. Does it redevelop? If so, is it too late? Or is it more just clipper esque, etc etc…. Isn’t this supposed to be the fun part..the tracking, and the unknown twists and changes? Gonna be a fun week.
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Yes sir…a couple inches next weekend is all we need.
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Yes sir…a couple inches next weekend is all we need.
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But we take…lol, cuz we are peasants now. For better or worse, this thing has many more twists and turns to go. Following from long leads, we all know the game.
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I mean it’s in a decent spot for the lead time, with the major players showing up. How they all develop and come together is going to morph as the week unfolds, but not a bad place to be at on Sunday morning, almost a week out.
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You’re right about finding ways to fail…(although we failed in January 22, and you killed it after moaning), but yes other than that, it’s been tough(although we did great here in CT in Feb 24 with 12+). Where you’re wrong currently, is the set up synoptically is pretty decent…and thats all you can say at a week out.
