WinterWolf

No, you certainly can’t. Now we need it to bear some good fruit.

Again, all here realize that if it doesn’t produce anything, it’s all a waste. But I think we’d all rather have this look the way it does, than not. Everybody is aware that this doesn’t guarantee a thing. But I’m thankful , as are others, that we can at least discuss the potential, and hope as Will said that we can get something to develop, and not go frigid and dry. But it is always a possibility, that we all are aware of.

That was more because that was a mid Atlantic monster. I had about 10-11 inches from that Jan 16 storm, and I was on the extreme northern fringe of the heavy stuff. Once north of here, it was like the amounts fell off the cliff. South of here they went up like a rocket.

They’ve whiffed a lot in the big ones over the last 15-20 years. They’ve been too far NW for most of them. That’s why SE areas did so well during that time period. 06 was great here..a two footer.

Feb 10? That was the historic Mid Atlantic snowmaggon year. Suppression depression for everybody north of NYC. You sure it was Feb of 2010?

Ya, I didn’t know exactly where he was in Mass? Thought he was from interior SE Mass. Out in the Berks…ya they’ve been getting boned.

How bout Feb of 13? How bout January of 15? How bout March of 18? How bout January of 22? All of those had 30 inches plus in places. Feb of 13 had about 33-34” here.

100% Scott.

This isn’t true either(for most of us). Most of us aren’t unreasonable. Gotta see how things play out. It’s that Simple.

It’s a shit argument…kind of like saying the first two days of January might be above normal, so January is above normal. But knock yourself out. This isn’t last year.

Just curious, What are the traditionally snowy areas that are BN?

That’s how this game is played though…you/we all know this going in. So many nuances with getting snow, that a good/great pattern can’t tell or show us at med/extended ranges. So you just gotta wait..or take a break and check in in 4-5 days.

I have to agree with you on that. We all know there are no iron clad guarantees with any of this. But it isn’t last year, and I don’t feel it will be going forward from here now either. That’s my take.

I’m no MET…but that looks pretty dam good to me overall. I’ll roll the dice with that.

You could be correct Luke, and nothing wrong with saying what you are saying. But You are also the guy who told us after the 12/5 system gave us 3-8 inches across the state, that we’d have to wait for after the new year(2025) to see anymore snow. And yet we saw three more snow events. They weren’t big..but they added another 4” plus to my total..to bring us to normal for December. So you were incorrect on this month back in the beginning after the 12/5 snow. You could be wrong about this too.

I don’t think anybody who is reasonable is saying that it hasn’t sucked. But when disingenuous people from other sub forums, come in and post a 384 hr OP run snapshot, that shows extremely warm 2 meter anomalies all over the whole Northern hemisphere, that absolutely never ended up playing out at all. And then the same posters can’t be found when the Ensembles(not OP) look good…that’s trolling bud. And that’s the crap that should be clamped down on all the time. There are a handful of disingenuous posters.

Well yes, tough for your area. And nobody is spinning anything. AT ALL. When you guys killed it every storm for years, we sat back and watched in awe. We’d get 3” here, and your area would get 9-10+”. That would happen all the time. So yes, it hasn’t been good there…I can understand, and know that feeling very well. But Let’s not get too crazy if the first few days of January don’t produce a snowstorm…or at least show one just yet. No spin, just saying. Other places just to your north and out this way, and on the cape have a different take on the month. But shit happens. I have a feeling your area will make up some ground in the not to distant future.

So 10 days from now, when it’s January 3rd…and we finished December at normal or AN snow, we should be having a snow event immediately on the first two days of January, or we’re in trouble of falling behind on 1/3? I mean, that’s about as lame an excuse for saying areas will be BN, because on 1/3/25 there hasn’t been a snow storm yet for January, as one can get.

The sad part is…at least in the Accuweather threads, they would remove those so fast, and if you continued, they would suspend you immediately. That place was run tight, the trade off was there wasn’t as many knowledgeable hobbyists /METS there. But they had some good ones too. This place used to be better/higher caliber. Unfortunately it isn’t anymore the last couple years.

And 10 years before that they were in a historic drought. And we had historic snow here. Wasn’t hard to see that it was gonna flip at some point for both places. Do everybody a favor, and Stop drinking and posting.

Completely different year…nice to see.

Agreed, The first snow is ridiculous. And if the ground is white…it’s a white Xmas. As far as the NWS goes with the one inch idea, I think that’s fair for weather purposes. But if your ground is white at your house, you got a white Xmas imo.

Ya, he’s a good guy/Met.

Ya you got boned there…I know that feeling. Have a good Xmas with the kids, and remember, it’s only weather.

Take away…just happy things look to get interesting, and winter like in January. It’s All we know at the moment, but I’d rather this, than the opposite.