WinterWolf

The only one hallucinating is you for god sakes. Yes, we are in desperation…desperation from reading your constant, incessant, nonstop f’n whining and complaining posts.

Posting style Ray..posting style let’s have some compassion.

I do understand that point. But those two are just sub par. If the big two come back..and show continuity a couple days from now, those two will eventually come on board toward the end. And if they didn’t, I don’t think it would matter much. But it’s all good. let’s hope we get a snow event.

Bud, the only point is those models are not what you want to show anything. If the two big boys converge in on a solution..it won’t matter if, or when they come on board. I mean I wouldn’t doubt that if the big boys say no go, those two models will show the opposite when that happens.

Really? This sounds silly. How long have you been around here? Those two models couldn’t find their ass if it was sitting on their face.

Yup, it’s done. Next.

A couple ways to get it done(if not the huge event) get snow into the region. Not a bad place to be at this point. A couple avenues to get something, isn’t all bad.

And that is very possible…we’ve seen it happen many times before. Doesn’t mean it will this time of course, but that’s plausible at this juncture. Gotta just wait and see.

Im prepared for the Euro to lose it coming up..so anything other than that will be a plus at this stage.

Well we’ll be on the look out come Tuesday then if that’s what you guys think. I wasn’t thinking anything like the last 48 hrs..nothing like that. Just figured Wednesday in my mind…but Tuesday is even better to know if she phases or not. Then we can shit can it, or be elated.

I’m gonna be honest…I don’t think with the modeling being so sensitive now, there will ever be a slam dunk at a week out in time, on a phased(more complicated)set up like this ever. Need to be closer in to see the players and how they are interacting, and that doesn’t happen until much closer in. Just my opinion. Euro probably gonna lose it too if I had to place a bet at this stage of where we are.

That might even be a little early…I was thinking more Wednesday imo. And there have been a lot more than just Boxing Day that got lost…I listed the ones I remember a few pages back. But as we know every set up is different. But losing the storm is no surprise.

Sure..I agree, but it’s hardly over if it is. And even day 4 isn’t a slam duck in something like this imo. It’s gonna waffle for sure..I wasn’t expecting these big solutions to be there for a week either. I was expecting this part.

I don’t feel anybody has been posting desperately here at all. Just discussing. A big hit is always the exception, but the potential is there…so we track and discuss.

You’re probably gonna jump then…cuz I have a feeling we are in that in between phase now…so it probably won’t look good now for a while. Just gotta hope when things get better sampled later this week, things improve again.

Well we had the 12z GFS and Euro yesterday. We had the 18z GFS yesterday. We had the 0z Euro early this morning. We had the 6z GFS this morning..all show big hits. So that’s 5 hits in the last 24 hrs…if we’re counting.

After the 0z of the GFS run last night…the GEFS was improved from the Op run. That was a decent sign. So if it’s better than that, and more like 6z, that’s not a bad place at this juncture. I mean we are still a ways out(not fantasy land) so this isn’t gonna hold the great look for too long either at this range.

Go back to my post a few pages back…I named probably 5 big ones that faded out, and then came back closing in on go time. It seems to happen more often than not. Doesn’t guarantee anything obviously, but you almost expect this when we follow at these leads.

I Said this earlier…does this almost every time we have a potential big solution. This is going to waffle for a while unfortunately. We know the game. It’s already been brought back to life once ironically.

Ya, I remember you saying that. Just sad that he thrives on discord and trolling. Poor guy is right.

I have no idea what’s wrong with that guy(Tiger Torch)? I said to Ice last evening, let’s just take one system at a time. I don’t see how that is some kind of wishcasting. I blocked that guy a year ago…he’s messed up.

Or “irony” as I like to say. I noticed that as a teenager back in the 80’s. But certainly agree.

This is going to do the usual “it’s there, it’s not their”, routine that a lot of the bigger ones(phased systems) seem to do, especially at this lead time. We’ve seen 5 OP hits(yesterday’s 12z GFS and Euro; yesterday’s 18z GFS; 0z Euro; todays 6z GFS)since it came back from the dead yesterday at 12z. Six if we count last Tuesday when it first made a 1 time showing. So it’s had more than just a few showings. If we think back to the bigger events over the past, the back and forth is always there. Boxing Day; the second big one in Jan 11; Feb 13; Jan ’15(that came back from the dead at 2.5 days away); just to name a few, were all there and then gone at some stage. It almost seems to be a right of passage at this point a lot of times. Maybe due to the length at which we seem to track them from is also a good reason too. Of course some never come back, but the ones that did, they seem to always go away for awhile/or go back and forth before a solid consensus emerges one way or the other. So I think we are entering that wishy washy stage of this potential now as well.

It didn’t look all that progressive to me. It starts snowing around 160, and it’s still snowing at 180..that doesn’t look all that quick compared to some of late. It’s probably not worth much at this lead, but just what I noticed.

I wasn’t looking or talking totals, I was just looking at the set up in general on that run. But yes, to be sure, long way to go.