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WinterWolf

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Everything posted by WinterWolf

  1. Let’s be real Kev…nobody knows what the fuck it’s gonna do. Look at yesterday…people were saying “ITS COMING” lol. A day later…it’s almost over. If we knew it was gonna miss completely, there would be no need to see the next model cycle. So we kid and laugh, but it’s the truth.
  2. I mean at 4 days out…that’s not exactly a bad place to have it. I know it goes east from there, but small/minute changes would bring that up the coast much further. Maybe that POS Baja S/W can just move even further southwest, and let the Northern stream takeover completely after this is better sampled.
  3. That’s why a small smidge of difference is enormous. Got 2 days till any phasing, and 4 to go time. Crazier Shit has happened before.
  4. I mean I guess you could consider it at any time. But on January 7th…. I don’t think that’s a reasonable idea. If it was Feb 27 th I’d be right with you. But that’s just me. You did well on 12/20, when that was waffling back and forth to the very last second. So I mean this is 4.5 days out still. There will be more changes to come on this.
  5. I have a feeling tomorrow’s modeling will be different yet again. This movie ain’t done yet.
  6. I said it would be Wednesday before we know anything definitive, but it may actually be Thursday now. This is a complex beast…still evolving.
  7. There was the “all or nothing idea,” which makes sense. But I’m starting to feel now that this could evolve into something where we see something, instead of nothing, but not the monster. But that’s still TBD.
  8. Ahh…first world problems. In the grand scheme of things this means nothing. Just like anything else, everything in moderation. Sure, we’d love to see something encouraging in the next cycle, but if not, we move forward and it’s quickly forgotten about.
  9. Lol at all the fork in it crap. Can’t write this off at all yet. 0z was a step back, but ensembles(EPS) yet again improve at 6z. Stay the course.
  10. A lot of rum there in Bermuda for it…
  11. According to snowgoose, Euro usually does the opposite of the drunk Ukie now since it’s upgrade.
  12. That’s what John(FXWX) was hoping for. Said that would be the best scenario at 0z.
  13. Ya, I mean that isn’t bad at all. 5 days out still. Every run isn’t gonna give us a cat 5 as much as we’d love for it too.
  14. FXWX said earlier that he wouldn’t mind seeing the GFS weaker and east, and the EURO come west some at 0z. He said that would be a good compromise for now. This might be that first step.
  15. Ya that’s a huge shift for sure.
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