WinterWolf
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Everything posted by WinterWolf
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Scooter likes to agitate the weenies…
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maybe they’re expecting it to shift back south at 12z? It did the same yesterday lol…this is where the sensitivity in the modeling lately can be a detriment. As METS, isn’t there job to sift through the data, and gleam the important parts/overall look of all the data, and separate it from the noise? Not just go with the rip and read idea? -
I just meant that all of a sudden it was flaccid. We’re 36 hrs out and it suddenly changes its look. 6z GFS looked fine to me. And I’m thrilled with 6-12 or 6-10. And yes, I’ll gladly take the snow, and have it get washed away a few days later…I’ll Take what and anything I can get here at home.
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Perhaps they aren’t doing the windshield wiper affect? Their latest map still has 8-12 for a big swath…GFS at 6z confirms that. And this is where the Euro OP certainly isn’t anything like it used to be. So sad.
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Ok Pickles. Who knows what the Euro will show in 90 minutes? Or what we see tomorrow and tomorrow night? A lot of modeling has had the same 9-12” amounts here for many runs, and on many different models. Maybe it changes? I don’t know.
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I think that’s more of an issue if we’re looking for more than 10-12”. 8-12” is what NWS has here, and as is that’s doable with what modeling seems to be showing currently/tonight. For something ultimately upper tier..then we’d need earlier/and more shortwave interaction, and more of an intense system.
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Completely Agreed.
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That’s a crushing everywhere imo…thanks for posting.
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Figured that. The AEMATT is rampant lol.
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I’m thrilled with GFS…I was just questioning Jerry’s adjective of “it’s a crushing” is all..no need for weenies lol.
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Is it better than the GFS?
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That’s a great storm right there…I’m very happy with 8-12”.
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A caution flag if it’s not worth a crap with this system? That doesn’t make a whole lot of sense Wiz…
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At the start sure, as it goes on the snow dries out as temps drop.
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I’m thinking he meant closer to the shore…
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Neither do I. It won’t be that wet here either. Closer to the shore sure…not significantly inland it won’t be.
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Nah…it’ll powder up as we head into the overnight and into the morning it seems. No paste for us.
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I apologize, I was meaning warnings. I reread your post and you said Watch…I’m not sure if there was ever a Watch issued for that weak system last winter, that gave me 5-6”? So What an abysmal season last year…just sickening.
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I had one storm here that dropped 5-6” last year…I don’t believe there was a Warning for that, but an advisory. 12.3” on the season last year lol.
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I was thinking that too. But I’m great with that.
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Been at a foot(give it take an inch or so) on every piece of guidance for a while. I’m so good with that. Let’s do it and enjoy.
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Take that in a second.
