I don’t think the -NAO is done retrograding west yet either, so that may help out as we close in, and models may start to see that a little more as we move ahead, and adjust south some.
It’s gonna be right…you could see it yesterday taking the lead with the block and confluence stronger, Euro is caving slowly and will continue to today. GFS dragging the Euro kicking and screaming to the finish line.
Gotta ways to go before we/he can say which model has the better idea. But with that strong confluence and Neg NAO exerting its muscle, I think this will trend south some due to that idea.
GFS makes more sense than Euro…confluence strong and NAO too…yet Euro keeps plowing into the block like it isn’t there. Doesn’t make sense. Euro Will start to cave to GFS idea.