WinterWolf

Ya it’s fallen from grace big time…but When we say ECMWF, do we also mean the Eiro ensembles(EPS) as well?

Which became your January blizzard which kicked off the monster 15 season at the end of January…especially for eastern areas.

Great points. I have been doing just that..grain of salt for sure, especially more than 10-12 days out.

At least there is some weather it seems to track going forward…we take.

Lol that’s what happens when we haven’t had any weather in a while…we grasp at anything that looks remotely exciting.

You mean 11/18 right?

Ya..Thanksgiving was supposed to be a torch too….lol. Everything’s a torch I guess.

Fabulous post. And well explained/easy to understand for some of us laymen. Thank you.

Agreed.

At the same time, We can’t expect wall to wall constant cold from mid/late November through the end of March either…there will be relaxation and mild ups where we live in SNE, especially early on. I’ll gladly take some good cold starting next week for 8-10 days, with a shot at some wintry precip, and then a warm up after that; especially if we reload for mid to later December when we start to enter our climatological wheelhouse . That’s a decent trade off to start us out here in SNE imo. And that December period isn’t carved in stone either, just like T Giving was supposedly looking nice and mild a week or two ago…not gonna happen now cuz things change.

Hopefully your gut is correct.

Nope…got a few sleet pellets that morning mixed with the rain, but no flakes. Still waiting here.

Nothing but clear star lit skies here..no flakes yet this season.

Lol, He doesn’t even know?

That was a pretty good winter here…I’ll take that.

The funny thing is, he said last week that the last decade has been bad in SNE for winter folks. I mean, if he really thinks that, he’s absolutely off his rocker.

He knows very little of the ways of SNE winters…been spoiled there the last decade plus at least (yet says the last decade hasn’t been good for snow in SNE Lmao) He was due for major regression, and last year was a real stinker for him and most in SNE. So now he feels every winter going forward will suck..cuz you know that’s how the weather works.

And what you’re saying isn’t either. At all. It’s already different than last year…if you can’t see and feel that, you have zero insight. Doesn’t mean a blockbuster, and nobody is implying anything like that. A normal/average winter incoming…been telling you that for 3 plus months. And BTW, Where’s all your warmth? Keep pushing the warmth train this month…the atmosphere doesn’t seem to be listening.

All one can ask for at this point…we take.

An Absolutely Ridiculous post. Pathetic actually.

We’ll gladly take that.

I was talking about last Thursday and Friday though…not two weeks ago.

They would fallen last night lol…

Somebody from Tauntons calls of palm trees and Parakeets might be in trouble..?

We tried to explain this last week…but some just wouldn’t listen. Said we were triggered, and putting up defense mechanisms when we said that it was still a ways out, and modeling was very volatile. Ya Hate to see it.