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WinterWolf

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  1. WinterWolf
    Hated that storm..virga storm here. Hope this plays out differently.
  2. WinterWolf
    Yes agreed, We watch. Ensembles are the way to go at the moment.
  3. WinterWolf
    Absolutely my point. I’ve been on the OTS train….but these Miller A’s do like to trend west. And as FXWX explained yesterday, there are a lot of reasons why this can shift west…so it wouldn’t take much. So we watch.
  4. WinterWolf
    You sure did you meatball…you said this was gone Sunday…so stop. Youve been struggling big time. Everything is gone with you. Scooter doesn’t know! This isn’t gone. And you’re in the best spot at the moment. But a subtle change puts everybody in the game. So stop your nonsense.
  5. WinterWolf
    You didn’t like the last one either…until it kept trending every run north at this time last week.
  6. WinterWolf
    Everyone’s in the game to be honest…if this shifts a 100 miles west, it’s game on for everybody. That’s an easy lift at 4 days out. But as I said yesterday, the OTS idea is the bigger problem, not occlusion.
  7. WinterWolf
    He’s still struggling….even after getting 20 inches.
  8. WinterWolf
    didn’t 18z Euro improve?
  9. WinterWolf
    Close enough So we can all get a bomb…that’s what we all want.
  10. WinterWolf
    Fair enough. But OTS is the bigger concern imo. And has been since this started looking like dog shit up here.
  11. WinterWolf
    Yup…it’s on life support.
  12. WinterWolf
    OTS is where I feel it’s headed…has the look of escaping east to me. Carolina and Virginia crusher..what a year for them.
  13. WinterWolf
    You mean toss the euro? Or it shows it OTS?
  14. WinterWolf
    Well it was something…let’s keep ticking it. Let’s see what the EPS says.
  15. WinterWolf
    It was about the time last week that everything started trending north for this past storm. Obviously a much different set up, but the point is that we need to see some movement North and west (besides the GFS/AIGFS) at least by ensembles later tonight into tomorrow. Doesn’t have to be huge…but something. And not the other way around.
  16. WinterWolf
    Did it come west at all?
  17. WinterWolf
    Not good for us here…but we’ll see?
  18. WinterWolf
    Definitely more tucked in…but very far south.
  19. WinterWolf
    Huh? Shouldn’t that be the other way around? I’d want it closer to Nantucket than Bermuda.
  20. WinterWolf
    OTS is the much bigger concern for us imo.
  21. WinterWolf
    Agree. But it’s got to get close enough to us to matter at all. That’s more my concern. Definitely an explosive set up…just don’t want to see the Carolina’s and Virginia and the Delmarva get buried, and have the sun out here. That would really suck.
  22. WinterWolf
    I don’t think anybody called it dead…except the guy in Taunton maybe, but that’s the same with him in every system. I said I was more concerned with the slide east OTS…but hope I’m wrong. It’s certainly far from dead. If the Euro ticks back west, then it’ll really help the cause.
  23. WinterWolf
    IMO the OTS idea is the bigger concern…she wants to slide SE at the moment. Obviously that could change being where we are in lead time…but the vast bulk of modeling today is SE currently.
  24. WinterWolf
    That was the virga storm here..snowed for hrs and hrs aloft here, but never reached the ground. Lost a ton of precip to dry air inland here. Southeast CT crushed it cuz they saturated super quick and snowed to beat the band.
  25. WinterWolf
    Every system is different obviously, was just referencing that that was progged to stay south vin its preceding approach too. My gut tells me this goes OTS..but I hope I’m wrong.
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