BlueRidgeFolklore
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Posts posted by BlueRidgeFolklore
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City of New Bern is updating the flooding on their arcGIS site.
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28 minutes ago, CrystalCityWeatherGuy said:
This is a first. Someone was interviewed about their reasoning for not evacuating Emerald Isle. I'll just leave this here hold back my comment.
"We have a basement"
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I am a mountain boy so please pardon if this is a stupid question but do the beaches of Brusnwick County's E to W orientation dampen, enhance or have no impact on the effects of storms like this?
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5 minutes ago, Met1985 said:
Looks like worst case scenario for you guys in the mountains currently with the track being further south and the storm moving very slow.
Met! Good to see you. You heading this way anytime soon?
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3 minutes ago, Animal said:
You build a house on the ocean or bay, you expect this to happen. It’s nothing atypical to have a tropical storm or hurricane impacts these areas.
rivers/streams will flood for sure in the typical areas. Again if you live at the bottom of a hill or near rivers/streams expectation is it floods.
Recommendation is to avoid living in these areas if you are not expecting weather related problems at some point.
You do realize that nearly all of ENC is essentially just a large coastal pain, river basin, right?
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10 minutes ago, ag3 said:
A category 2 is bad but not "catastrophic". People need to tone it down a bit. This isn't 2 days ago where the Euro had it straight into NC as a category 4.
You obviously don't understand how vulnerable Eastern NC is with these storms. Matthew hit as a Cat 1 and killed 26 people in NC and $1.5 billion in damages.
If even half of the total rain projections verify, this could end up catastrophic for SE NC and SC.
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Can anyone lay their hands on any projected win probabilities for our area, based on the latest runs?
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10 minutes ago, BooneWX said:
Wow. The trend was not in our favor overnight fellas. I hope this changes quickly. Euro output had 40+ inches of rain falling in our area. Not to mention that we would also be in the strongest winds now.
That was my biggest fear. That mirrors the totals from Hurricane Frances and Hurricane Ivan over that one week period back in September of '04. It got ugly around here.
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1 hour ago, BooneWX said:
Took a peak at the potential wind gusts map from the Euro. 50-70 mph in NW NC with full foliage and 10 inches of rain?? Yikes.
Foliage is the least of my concerns. Mudslide city is my main concern.
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Welp! Now is about the time we start the fall and winter speculation! It's good to be back. Watch out for the rain this week!
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4 hours ago, LithiaWx said:
I’ve got bulbs starting to sprout. What the hell? It hasn’t been that warm recently. It’s been a cold winter here too.
It’s right about time for me to start some tomato seeds indoors before the transplant later in spring.
Photoperiod plays a larger role in seeing plants sprout, than weather. I've noticed the sun hanging higher in the sky in the last week.
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56 minutes ago, Solak said:
Time will tell.....
NWSCPCVerified account @NWSCPC 3m3 minutes ago
February is forecast to be warmer than usual for the Four Corners region, along the southern tier, and up the east coast, while below-normal temperatures are likely for the Pacific Northwest through Northern Rockies. http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/long_range/lead14/ …
I honestly wouldn't mind a warm up. We've been dealing with snow, ice and cold in the MTNS since late October. Give me a warm Feb to get the boat and camper in order before Spring fishing.
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3 hours ago, fritschy said:
Oh I know just get a little frustrated , seems we can never get the cold to hang on and when it does we can't get the moisture to come in, sorry if I sound like a broken record but that's just getting it off my chest, venting I guess.
We have guys here that haven't seen in a measurable snowfall in years. In Asheville we got 14" just last month. We got nearly a foot last year and a foot and a half the year before that. Our winters are have been doing pretty good as of recently in terms of getting a good snowstorm or two. Count your blessings.
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11 minutes ago, griteater said:
I tell you what, my confidence is fairly high that Lake Toxaway is going to see a good wallop of snow from this....hoist the Winter Storm Warnings there Isohume!
9 minutes ago, Met1985 said:It sure is along with the southern facing mountains in SW NC.
Yea, from Henderson to Macon will see a good hit I think.
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24 minutes ago, No snow for you said:
Fear the northwest trend.
And I love how the mountain folks have just been sitting back watching us watch all the models knowing the entire time they were going to cash in big time.
We've driven this road many times. It still may surprise all of us however.
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2 minutes ago, SnowDeac said:
Good call. I have a 2WD Explorer. Snow/skiing isn't worth life and limb. Maybe we'll end up on the right side of things in terms of precip types for once, but I'm not counting on it.
Where are you located? Your point/click location is showing in WV.
Dutch Cove is just south of Canton, NC, in Haywood County.
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14 minutes ago, SnowDeac said:
Unsure if that's wise with no 4WD.
Very unwise, especially considering it's already been snowing in those areas. It's already getting slick and you haven't even decided if you're leaving yet.
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8 minutes ago, thess said:
Newb question:
If this NW trend is very predictable by humans, why isn't it predictable by models?
Good question but I would assume it's because they're AI. They have to be programmed to reason, whereas we just understand it based on past events.
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7 minutes ago, No snow for you said:
Euro weeklies say if we don't score next weekend, mid February will be our next shot at the earliest.
We heard this last week too and 3 days later we had something to keep an eye on.
Hurricane Flo Banter Thread-no fun allowed, no saying the storm isn’t that bad plz
in Tropical Headquarters
Posted
If you're asking a New Yorker, compared to Sandy, this storm was a bust.