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Kaner88

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Everything posted by Kaner88

  1. 10:1 ratio map caveat as per usual but 18z GFS ensemble mean is a nice thump* along I-80 * as much of a 'thump' as >48 hours of intermittent light-to-moderate snows can be
  2. Feels like the NWS office here is still sticking with the GFS (or at the very least not the NAM), point & click calls for rain & snow becoming all rain tomorrow after an all-snow onset tonight
  3. 18z NAM pushes the first wave snow shield a bit north & looks warmer thru Thursday AM at the lower levels
  4. NAM meteogram wants 0.13” ZR followed by 1.26” QPF worth of snow here, I guess if it’s gonna be NAM vs GFS it might as well be as extreme as possible
  5. GFS ensembles (albeit from 12z) anticipating an average precipitation rate of 0.005"/hour from 03z 1/22 to 12z 1/25, impressive
  6. Come for the storm, stay for ILSNOW refusing to let alek's dud call stand
  7. Weird having both the NAM & Euro showing good snows, not sure what kind of omen that is but it seems kind of tough to see this thing dropping 6” with how ragged & low-amp the event looks to be
  8. Sitting between <1” on the GFS and >6” on the NAM, certainly don’t want to get too close to a consensus it seems
  9. The Super Bowl Blizzard! Fond memories of shoveling snow up to my head & constantly worrying about branches falling onto the roof
  10. I’m told the GFS performed relatively well with the most recent storm so the 15” of Kuchera snow here should be a lock at this point
  11. 1.5" official at the airport, highest storm report in so far is a whopping 3" in the southern suburbs of Omaha Tough break after 6"+ forecasts around Nebraska City
  12. Starting to wrap up here in Omaha, most riveting ~2.5 hours of the season Probably an inch or so when it's all set and done, enough to double commute times but not enough to totally cover the grass
  13. Wouldn't be right for the NAM to show anything aside from an apocalypse though
  14. Incomplete NAM accumulated precip suggests Indiana's in line to become the sixth Great Lake
  15. 2" ZR in northwest suburban Chicago, you gotta admire the NAM's persistence
  16. Just wouldn't feel right if the SREF / NAM weren't going gangbusters within 72 hours of the event. Imagine the coworkers wouldn't want to hear about a 1-14" range (set by the ECMWF ENS and RAP, respectively) here in Omaha though so I guess we'll wait & see
  17. 2" or so seems like a solid bet at this juncture out here in Omaha, looking forward to some better totals & better pictures towards the Great Lakes.
  18. Backyard measurement says 9", have to look at LSRs later to compare given the drifting going on around the neighborhood. Never seen anything like that storm with respect to the impact on the power grid: transformers blowing and power flashes lighting up the sky at least once every five minutes for a little bit there.
  19. Heading to bed in the midst of the closest thing to a blizzard I’ve experienced since GHD 2011, albeit with a lower intensity of snow. Accumulations don’t look like they’ll make the 8-12” cut but it’s still been a heck of an early season system, a win by any means.
  20. Lowest visibility of the night, finally some real blizzard conditions
  21. Transformer appears to have blown somewhere close, bright green flashes reflecting off the houses next door. Looked to be off to the north. Not much wind but trees are absolutely loaded with snow, bending like no other
  22. Tough to tell if these are lightning flashes every once in a while or transformers blowing. First flash was somewhat purple, second was green. Either way, radar still looks a bit anemic like Hoosier said
  23. Kinda get the feeling north Cook is going to underperform. Radar still looks iffy with returns getting cut quite a bit moving through downtown Chicago. Looks fantastic out by DeKalb.
  24. Can any pros help me out here? Wondering what’s persistently dampening radar returns in Cook County- on a loop it’s just been yellow and orange returns getting sliced up into greens as they move NNW.
  25. If this swath of yellows & oranges & reds (!) makes its way north and hangs around as the pivot begins... could be a real fun jackpot zone for some.
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