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Everything posted by audioguy3107

  1. Amazing how fast that tornado near Campbellton intensified and then dissipated, all within a matter of minutes.
  2. Wow.....Making a beeline to just near the Atlanta airport. Correlation coefficient very clear.
  3. BTW, it’s well known on this board but man, Glenn Burns is awful.....he’s searching for rotation on all his fancy equipment and can’t find anything. It took me about 10 seconds on an iPad.
  4. Possible tornado on the ground in the southern Atlanta suburbs
  5. One things for sure, some serious hail right now on that cell.
  6. Ok, ok, I’m not trying to argue, of course there can be warnings issued, small hail, various severe reports. Of course that happens all the time....I’m talking about moderate/high risk events, large hail, PDS Tornado watches etc. the real events. The further south the Douglasville storm gets, the better the environment so it’s not all that surprising. That being said, the couplet on that storm while strong is very broad.
  7. I hear ya, that would be important if it was 10 AM and the system was still to our west over in do realize that once this squall line moves through that's it, right?
  8. I'm not sure what redevelopment you're talking about unless you're talking about central/south Georgia, once this dying line moves through it's over for us here in Atlanta. Warm air advection is strong, but not strong enough to move the warm front north of the metro.
  9. Just to illustrate the's the current CAPE values for the SE per the SPC. The warm front had all DAY to make it's way north but couldn't budge the wedge. CAPE is pretty much confined to the western edge counties and points south. Even some of the models had the warm front eventually lifting north of Atlanta by now. Not a chance.
  10. Not counting on the wedge is a losing bet 100 out of 100 times. I've followed severe weather setups in Georgia for almost 40 years and there is one thing that you can always count on. The wedge. It ruined the severe setup during last years mod/high risk day and has done so every single time in our areas history. The only time we can get significant (that's the important word.....we can always have run of the mill severe weather) severe setups is when we are firmly in the warm sector...think Palm Sunday 1994, April 1998. When I didn't see any sun today (granted I'm up in the NE corner of Gwinnett County firmly in CAD territory) I knew there was absolutely nothing to worry about. As soon as the Jacksonville Alabama storm crossed over the border, it was game over.
  11. Gonna be interesting in about an hour.....if these super cells maintain their rotation they’re going to be going over some very densely populated areas west of Atlanta. The overall clusters are only about 2 counties away from Marietta and the western suburbs.
  12. The Jacksonville AL tornado is one of the better correlation coefficients signatures I’ve seen. Likely a large possibly violent TOG.
  13. Check out this really nice satellite image from SPC, you can clearly see the orientation of the warm front, the developing low pressure and a sweet gravity wave over the western Gulf of Mexico.
  14. I do think you're right in this instance, although here in Gwinnett we're socked in with 59 degrees and misty conditions. The WAA is pretty potent in this case, but we've all seen this before here in Georgia with the North Georgia storm shield alive and kicking. Over along the western Alabama border counties it's a whole different story. I'd be especially concerned in the Floyd, Polk, Haralson and Paulding county areas. - Buck
  15. So really curious about this one, I've lived in Atlanta for my whole life and have seen these types of setups a million times with sometimes much better "enviornments" than yesterday, especially being this early in the season. What did you see that made this cold push so much more potent than usual? I mean, cold air pushing down from the NW hardly if ever makes it over the appalachians in time, we can never seem to get appreciable snowfall with some type of arctic air in place or a nice dry CAD. What on earth happened differently than normal to make this work for the Georgia people?
  16. Still can't get over the HRRR.......has the secondary band pivot right over the Atlanta metro and has us in the snow until close to 11 AM on Saturday morning.....just incredible if it pans out this way.
  17. This is really incredible, I cannot remember a storm like this that overperformed to the high side......I’m as big a snow weenie as the rest and even I wasn’t really all too excited about this event. I expected the typical splatting rain with a changeover late tonight giving maybe a dusting. We’ve all seen this before here a million times. The postmortem on this storm will be interesting especially considering how early in the year it is.
  18. The HRRR still has it snowing in the Atlanta metro until late tomorrow morning, this even possible around here? Amazing
  19. Man, how many times has a marginal setup performed like this on the cold side for us here in north Georgia? Still pouring outside right now in Flowery Branch. After seeing how marginal the temps were the last two days I would’ve bet a lot of money we would have gotten a cold rain for most of the day.
  20. Pretty interesting, per the SPC mesoanalysis Page, the 925 and 850 lines have pushed fairly well south and east of the metro Atlanta area as the morning has worn on. That in and of itself is shocking with this type of setup.....that line usually stays north of this area in this type of storm.
  21. Man, lost in all the wind reports here is just how lucky we are here with the high pressure to our north with cooler air in place since under a normal early September pattern, we would be in prime territory for a tropical system Tornado outbreak. Under a similar track, if it was close to 80 degrees or so with any kind of breaks in the clouds, we would have most likely seen numerous tornado touchdowns today.
  22. I don't know, I'm beginning to wonder.....I'm 2 hours southwest of you and nothing here but light wind to speak of other than a gentle breeze every now and then.
  23. If you look at the last several frames of the AVN satellite loop, The CDO is literally exploding in size as well, it contracted quite a bit over the last 12 hours, but seems to be rapidly expanding in size as well as intensity. That didn't take long.