-
Posts
1,613 -
Joined
-
Last visited
Content Type
Profiles
Blogs
Forums
American Weather
Media Demo
Store
Gallery
Everything posted by Buffalo Bumble
-
Good call! Like Dave said, you can shoot east easily if the heaviest stuff sets up closer to Rochester. Not sure how familiar you are with the area…Besides the obvious attraction at Niagara Falls, Lewiston is a great spot to visit just 10 minutes or so away. Quaint village with coffee house/brewery and a place called Artpark with trails along the Niagara River gorge. If you want room to spread out and walk around or get a snowstorm experience along the shore of Lake Ontario, head to Wilson Tuscorara State Park, 15-20 minutes from NF. If you get there while it’s clear on Sunday you can see the Toronto skyline (usually) across the lake. Fantastic brewery in Wilson too. Happy chasing!!
-
Ok, I was a bit heavy there on the hyperbole. Should have said I'm skeptical of models showing WNY in the bullseye. BUF has a great write-up this morning. Have to check those dates to see how the snow was distributed across upstate. The deterministic runs continue to show a low track that is farther west than climatology. East coast systems typically track along the coast and close to the coastal front, but in THIS case the strong synoptic scale dynamics may overcome that trend and force the low track farther west and well inland across the Mid Atlantic and PA. One big reason for this can be blamed on a large sfc high that will precede the storm...with the high moving off the New England coast and blocking a more typical storm track up the coast. Nor`easters usually run up the coast ahead of the Canadian high...but the timing is such that the sfc high will force the storm system inland and up the coastal plain. Storms of this nature have a history of generating widespread snow throughout all of western and north central New York. Similar sfc patterns occurred with the following storms: 2/13/93, 12/29/97, 1/12/96, 2/23/98, 12/11/92 and 2/12/85.
-
From BUF: The upper level system that will force this system was still over the Pacific Ocean for the 00Z guidance suite, but will move onshore today in the Pacific Northwest and will be better sampled by the radiosonde network and aircraft soundings from this point forward, which should continue to promote converging model solutions and increasing forecast confidence over the next day or two.