Jump to content

ers-wxman1

Meteorologist
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    2,481

  • Joined

  • Last visited

 Content Type 

Everything posted by ers-wxman1

  1. ers-wxman1
    I would certainly promote your work and try to gain some exposure for you. Thanks for all of your work on here.
  2. ers-wxman1
    The Atmospheric Science/Meteorology track is heavily weighted on calculus and physics. It’s a bear.
  3. ers-wxman1
    Salary starts low but you’ll get where you need to be. I started as a GS5 step 1, I’m now going into a 13 step 8. That plus all the OT with storm activations and you do very well.
  4. ers-wxman1
    I updated my post above. You and PSU would be great at WPC or CPC. The way to go for good salary/benefits is NWS/NOAA. I’ve had a wonderful 20 year career. You can move around as well. Energy firms pay more but much more stress.
  5. ers-wxman1
    Or you can cross the abyss into my world and get paid to do it. I enjoy your posts and expertise. If you and PSU Hoffman ever decide on a Met career I think you’d be a great asset to either WPC or CPC with your knack for pattern recognition and analysis.
  6. ers-wxman1
    Progressive pattern with no chance of locking in arctic air for any substantial amount of time, at least through the next two weeks.
  7. ers-wxman1
    00z ICON continues to hold serve for significant icing. CAD impressive.
  8. ers-wxman1
    Take this over to banter and stop ruining things for those of us that actually analyze the situation and make productive posts.
  9. ers-wxman1
    So all of our analysis goes to pot? That’s the way events roll. You don’t shut off a thread because an event doesn’t work out.
  10. ers-wxman1
    12z ICON holds serve, tad colder with snow transitioning to freezing rain. CAD holds on until 03z Sunday. Significant icing.
  11. ers-wxman1
    Different look to the NAM this morning. Less WAA, more frontal passage. Right in tune with the way this winter has been going.
  12. ers-wxman1
    Icing events are among the most difficult patterns to predict in the MA. Low 30s won’t cut it for optimal accretion. Ideal is less than 30F and rates come into play. Strength of the WAA and resilience of the CAD. I’ve never seen any model handle it perfectly in this area, not even the colder solutions.
  13. ers-wxman1
    cant rely on the globals to analyze a CAD setup like this.
  14. ers-wxman1
    Not much to go on with the ICON being such a new model. GFS is likely too warm. Given the strength and depth of that high plus source region, likely to see temps on the colder side of guidance and hanging in longer. Temps not an issue.
  15. ers-wxman1
    00z ICON continues to be a significant icing event for Saturday. At 12z Saturday the freezing line is wedged all the way down into NC. Doesn’t get above freezing in DC until 03z Sunday.
  16. ers-wxman1
    3k NAM shouldn’t even be looked at in this range. Precip isn’t even close to our area.
  17. ers-wxman1
    12k is ok, bit wet, but more so the pattern change with more vorticity leading ahead of the main system out west and a pronounced cold wedge.
  18. ers-wxman1
    Unreal. We’ve been saying it all along about the icon on TT. Posts like that just muddle the forum.
  19. ers-wxman1
    That will be all ice!
  20. ers-wxman1
    18z ICON slowed the precip down a bit, However, keeps a solid CAD feature in place. Signal is there for a decent icing event.
  21. ers-wxman1
    What are you looking at? The model doesn’t show sleet/freezing rain. I’m seeing a good CAD all the way past 21z.
  22. ers-wxman1
    Should never count things out until you see the whites of its eyes for situations like this. Around here all it takes is a glaze on roads, trees, and power lines in the 20s to have significant impacts.
  23. ers-wxman1
    This is why the globals should be looked at it with a grain of salt in the medium range with CAD situations. I like to use the medium range globals to give a general pattern depiction then go on what we know to happen in these situations. Even the mesoscale models struggle.
  24. ers-wxman1
  25. ers-wxman1
    18z NAM could certainly give those from Loudoun to central MD a couple inches before the transition.
×
×
  • Create New...