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AlaskaETC

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Everything posted by AlaskaETC

  1. NWS Riverton just bumped the forecast up for my area. Now up to 24".
  2. Ah...the last minute euro pull the rug thing. I guess that happens everywhere Except for me.
  3. Oh boy, the 12z Euro is very good for my backyard. Nearly 30"...but it might be out of range at this point.
  4. The ECMWF is very friendly to just about everyone from Denver to Casper. I get about 20" verbatim, and 2.4" of QPF
  5. The UKMET seems like a good blend of the NAM/Para GFS and the operational GFS. Denver gets more snow and some of the amounts in the front range are moderated.
  6. That'll be a feature to track once we get into the nowcast.
  7. That makes a lot of sense. We'll see.
  8. I am interested in hearing a more technical analysis of why the Para GFS is colder/wetter than the operational GFS for this storm in particular. The 0z Para GFS is a weenie run for everyone from Denver to Casper.
  9. I have a feeling the operational GFS will be off quite a bit for the Denver area. Really seems like an outlier right now.
  10. Agreed. I lived in DC a few years ago. The snowstorms here are great, but Nor'easters are just entirely different and uniquely magical.
  11. 0z NAM appears to have most of the action in the front range and central Wyoming, extending into South Dakota and parts of Nebraska. Denver still gets decent totals.
  12. I think most people here are on the east coast. Mountain West discussions are usually not that active. Snowstorms aren't a rare generational event here either...
  13. Certainly seems like the operational GFS is a little warm, while the Para GFS is much colder/wetter. I hope the Para GFS is right because that's like 25" in my backyard.
  14. The 18z GFS definitely isn't kind to the Denver area.
  15. I'm a bit further north but NWS Riverton has been conservative, citing the GFS as a primary reason. I thought the temperatures were a little too warm for some areas.
  16. The ECMWF looks extra juicy this run, at least for my area.
  17. The models did a fairly good job with Hurricane Dorian. The forecast seems to be right on track, or roughly within the same range.
  18. Did I say I had a problem with people following hurricanes? Nope. I said that I was wondering why people are disappointed by a Category 4 turning into a Category 2.
  19. Yes. However, people should draw the line between being enthusiastic for weather and inadvertently cheerleading for life-taking weather events.
  20. Yeah, my friend in Fairbanks has certainly reaped the benefits of the cold and snowy winter. Those constant polar vortex shots make me jealous.
  21. Yeah, he actually ended up getting frostbite on his finger tips while refueling in the middle of it...he had to keep his car running. It isn't severe frostbite at least...his car was roughed up pretty bad though.
  22. My friend in AK recently went on a camping trip up the Dalton Highway and got stuck in a good ole' fashioned interior snowstorm on the way back, south of the Brooks Range. Crazy stuff. Check out his videos below.
  23. I'm thinking we'll see another decent snowstorm soon.
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