dseagull

Spent many an hour staring at TWC, longgggg before it succumbed to the scourge of BS that is modern TV. Hold onto those memories. Nostalgia is a wonderful thing, even if it means a power mullet, 80s stash, and awkward TV persona! Good times indeed.

2009 and 2010 delivered those sharp upticks in guidance that satisfy the inner weenie even in old timers. Call it nostalgia, but those were the systems that reminded me of somewhat elicited surprise in the 80s and 90s, because that was what we had to work with, model wise. I'd go back to the days without smart phones and reliable internet in a second. The element of surprise and lack of communication was a beautiful thing. ...memories are a wonderful thing.

Amen. My first memorable storm and the year I became a merchant mariner.

Hey, if we close for a sniffle, we shall close for a whiffle...lmao...Poor kids

Word for word what I was thinking while reading through this thread.

Amen!

Thank you. That's the best thing I've seen this year!

I miss those days. Still watch the 96 blizzard coverage for nostalgia.

That is a thing of beauty. A lot of members have it bombing out, but it's moving awfully fast. If we had blocking, this would be doozey.

May have, but already left my backyard station. Manahawkin looks to maybe have 10 from what I am hearing. Somers Point apparently has over a foot. Cant confirm. Somebody will jackpot with 13-15. Had some great rates south of me for 5 plus hours.

28.3/31. BARNEGAT NJ. Tapering flurries. Ended up with 8.9 inch avg over 3 boards. Wind made this storm tricky and I did no interval measurements. Have some 2.5-3' drifts in my marina back yard. Over performing storm for my areas and points south, if you eliminated the outlier runs with northern QPF. Without the last 2 pivot bands, I would have sat around 5 inches. Interesting scenario and fun to watch. Should be interesting to go back and look at last night's mesos, today's, and tomorrow's. I'm fascinated with watching how one storm may or may not carve the path for another in the same general pattern with similar connections. I-95 special?

I live on a marina as well. Gotta figure out how to downsize pics to post here. Have some impressive 3 foot drifts over lawn furniture. Wind tunnel effect coming down the lagoon. Good storm. May have another 20 min to hald hour to pick up another half inch or so.

Nice. Just had the heaviest band move in, with 40 mph wind as we speak. Very thin on radar. I'm impressed. Busted wayyyy high on my thoughts.

We have different years where the expanse of gulf stream Eddies is smaller, but more intense, vice-versa. The overall ocean heat index is difficult to calculate because of many variables, including depth, ambient air temp, flow...etc... This year is nothing special. Reminds me of some fishing conditions I had in the late 80s and early 90s. Very wide spread flow off the GS. The inshore SST is warmer for obvious reasons, but in still skeptical about the overall effect on a truly dynamic storm. I'm genuinely interested in this next storm, despite closing in on 9 inches. I'd love to see a true Miller B this winter, for coastal implications. Long duration events have always been my thing, unless we are talking real tropical systems.

I'm in Barnegat. (Waretown technically) I keep thinking this edge is gonna slide out, but the pivot is dumping on us. We may EEK out a legit 9.5-10 5 inches You are clearly in Beach Haven West. I just got off the parkway from my hunting club. Nassssttyyy

Trending in that direction. I'm looking forward to comparing tonight's globals with last nights globals, and then again with tomorrow nights runs. Wise professor once told me that past, present, future....is simply used knowledge, and many people refuse to be useful.

That was honestly my concern. I capitalized today by threading the needle. (Barnegat NJ) I will be fishing in this lull tomorrow afternoon wednesday morning. Water temps are still 43.5ish near the coast. If I run 90 miles for bottom fish at the Wilmington Canyon, I still have 63 SST. That's why we are still crushing tuna. Unless we get a bomb or a similar slider, I get screwed .... and just have to take the dogs up to susquehanna to hunt instead. Lol. Next one is for you. I think she over performs, despite being a progressive track at the moment.

"One system carving out a path for another," sydrome?

Beautiful to have something to track immediate after this system exits.

Peaks of sun in Barnegat NJ, back end is marching to the coast FAST. Just about over. Quick 4 inch storm, and watching temps slide with the DP

Also, NWS Mt Holly did amazingly well with conservative forecasts. Kudos.

Exactly. While people in NYC and LI are calling this a bust for not delivering, it may be argued that it is a bust high for people in Tom's River and further South. This was always a southern storm until late in the game, and many people on the Jersey Shore are busting high, (if you remove extreme runs from the past 18-24 hours.) It is all perspective. Nice little nusaince event until you go south of Little Egg in NJ

Barnegat, NJ. 1240. 30.4/33. Light/mod snow. Lull in the wind, 12@ 345 NNW. Gusts to 24 @10m on the bay. 3.7" on the board. Looks like we may get one more band before it wraps up at 1430

Thanks for sharing. Totals are definitely busting low even further south. I'm curious to see where the axis of max accumulated snow sets up. just east of hammonton, NJ is looking prime for jackpot. Maybe a line from Millville to New Gretna.

I did a poor job articulating myself. Let me try again. It outperformed and signaled at something that most models lost entirely for a period of time. Consistency is a valuable asset for any model. I'm not lauding the performance of the GFS, I'm simply giving credit where it is due. I'd like to look into the parameters once this system exits. Something to learn from. OBS - 31/31 Barnegat NJ. Light/mod SN. Winds starting to howl N @ 20-25 G to 35. 2.6" on the board. Still expecting less than 5", but the roads have gone to crud quickly. Going to make bird hunting impossible today, unless it lets up soon here on the Northern Fringe.