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weatherbubba

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About weatherbubba

  • Birthday 11/22/1964

Profile Information

  • Four Letter Airport Code For Weather Obs (Such as KDCA)
    KRDU
  • Gender
    Male
  • Location:
    Garner NC

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  1. weatherbubba

    Hurricane Florence

    The eyewall has just reached land according to radar at Topsail Island.
  2. weatherbubba

    Hurricane Florence

    I think that is possible contingent on where you live in the Triangle. I live just north of Fuquay Varina and I wouldn't be surprised to see a 50 MPH wind gust in my area. Areas north and west of Raleigh probably will not see any winds much above 40 MPH. WTVD's Chris Holman did not show any wind gusts above 45 MPH in his wind estimates for the area. Mother Nature will get the final say as far as how high our winds will get.
  3. weatherbubba

    Hurricane Florence

    The GFS has held serve through 66hrs. It doesn't come as far inland thus it is a little stronger later into the run.
  4. weatherbubba

    Hurricane Florence

    That FV3 version of the GFS does have what appears to be a more realistic track than the GFS model. The barometric pressures are like night and day compared to the GFS. I think that might be on the right trail when all is said and done. We'll have to see if the eastward movement on the last Euro run continues. If it does, we might have something here.
  5. weatherbubba

    Hurricane Florence

    Well, the GFS is consistent even though many here think it is in left field with its track, At 84hrs, it is near Cape Hatteras and 1mb higher with its barometric pressure. It is a smidgen south and west of its previous run. It would be a blessing for interior NC but catastrophic for the Outer Banks and NC coast if it even comes close to verifying.
  6. weatherbubba

    Hurricane Florence

    Good Morning, I see the models have pretty much held their own overnight with the GFS, CMC and some of the others taking the hurricane near the Pamilco Sound and stalling it and the Euro tracking it across the state from landfall near the NC/SC border towards Charlotte and falling apart over Western NC. Both tracks are disasters for North Carolina and have me very worried, I noticed some 40+ rainfall amounts for the Charlotte area if this verifies. All we can say and do is prepare for the worst and hope for the best!
  7. weatherbubba

    Hurricane Florence

    I believe the CMC is in the GFS camp but I don't know if that is a vote of confidence. Things will change between now and landfall but the window will be closing faster as we go along.
  8. weatherbubba

    Hurricane Florence

    The Euro shifts west once it gets inland. That was interesting and would devastate the Charlotte area if that is the case. The stall that some of the other models are showing would bring epic flooding to Eastern NC. It's early but things do not look good for the old North State!
  9. weatherbubba

    Hurricane Florence

    Thank you for the welcome! You bring up a great point about the intensity forecast being way off on the GFS. Hanging around off the shallower waters of the Outer Banks would weaken rather than strengthen Florence. The UKMet did paint a bleak picture when it comes to track in its latest run. The Euro is about to do its thing so we'll see if it picks up on the trend that the GFS and CMC have been showing lately.
  10. weatherbubba

    Hurricane Florence

    Hello, I'm a long time lurker and infrequent poster here and I've been following the discussion here on Florence. I will be very interested to see if the newest Euro model run follows what seems to be the trend on some of the other models, in particular, the GFS which has stalled Florence near the Outer Banks for its last two runs. The last Euro run showed a Fran type track which would spell disaster for the Raleigh area where I live. I am still hoping is that Florence will turn more north and further out to sea but unless it strengthens more rapidily than forecast or the high pressure ridge is weaker, it looks like North Carolina is in for a hard time later this week. I know today's forecast models aren't gospel, especially four to five days out, but it looks like NC will not be able to dodge Hurricane Florence and its effects.
  11. weatherbubba

    Winter Storm 1/6 - 1/8, 2017

    When all is said and done, I think meteorologists, both amatuer and professional will pay more attention to the NAM when issuing forecasts for winter weather in the Southeast. Many people dismiss it and lean on the GFS and Euro but it has won the major model war the past couple of years when it comes to predicting precipitation types and accumulations within 48 hours.
  12. weatherbubba

    Winter Storm 1/6 - 1/8, 2017

    Add another person who lives in that general vicinity to that list! I'm praying that the GFS will verify even though it comes in warmer with each run. At least the latest run of the NAM was a little better. King Euros last run before the storm hits our area should be interesting. I would love to see something in the 6+ inch range but expectations are that 2 inches and a lot of sleet are what I'm going to see.
  13. weatherbubba

    Winter Storm 1/6 - 1/8, 2017

    I live in Southern Wake County and that snow/sleet line will be close if not over me. The NAM was the first model to show the warm nose that dashed our hopes for snow last year. I'm riding the GFS and REGM and hoping the low tracks further off the coast but current trends aren't my friend right now.
  14. weatherbubba

    February 16th - February 17th Snow/Ice Storm OBS

    It's 20 degrees here just South of Raleigh with moderate sleet. I pray the pingerfest continues. I don't want to relive the December 2002 ice storm!
  15. weatherbubba

    Burns' Big Banter Bonanza

    Here, South of Raleigh, the outdoor thermometer reads 31 degrees and the sleet has switched over to freezing rain. A light glaze is starting to form on exposed surfaces, especially metallic surfaces. That warm nose must be advancing north and east as many forecasters were expecting.
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