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DocATL

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Everything posted by DocATL

  1. DocATL
    Average puts us in a better position for substantial snowfall
  2. DocATL
    A flurry. One.
  3. DocATL
    12z GFS and Euro deploy the SnowShield[emoji769] over Chicago Metro.
  4. DocATL
    NAM gives us a Thanksgiving phase just to the south of Chicago metro. Euro is close but a bit late. We should know by the midday runs if this is a possibility or not.
  5. DocATL
    Mmmm beer. .
  6. DocATL
    You’ll appreciate January even more! .
  7. DocATL
    GFS northwest trend is the surest thing in this world. .
  8. DocATL
    European pats GFS on the head and puts forward a more sensible solution the morning, keeping things quite active. Lots of quick hitter clippers. Honestly I like that better than a crippling wallop.
  9. DocATL
    Yeah…Canadian goes with a dry suppressed look too. If Euro follows suit, we punt. Gonna waste the cold this time around unless we can catch a clipper or two. Luckily it’s just the beginning of the season. Ensemble means are better for NYC than Chicago [emoji3061]
  10. DocATL
    Yeah unfortunately the GFS op puts us in the suppression shredder. But hey at least it’s cold [emoji2375]
  11. DocATL
    I like what the Canadian has cooking.
  12. DocATL
    That’s true. From what I’ve seen, those are near term events in that you really need to have the conditions established first and then things start to show up in the models a few days out. .
  13. DocATL
    Looks like we are absolutely getting the cold. Now if we can get the storm track. .
  14. DocATL
    The weird warm advection from the north is the rub. This whole event is pretty bizarre with how it is unfolding. The fujiwara effect of the lows on the models is trippy.
  15. DocATL
    Even juicier at 18z. HRRR also vigorous. Where are you located? .
  16. DocATL
    NAM finally wakes up from its slumber [emoji849] .
  17. DocATL
    I don’t know about you all but I’m riding the ICON FTW. She’s glorious!
  18. DocATL
    This weeks event may be a few token flakes for Chicago and that’s about it. We’ll be threading the needle next week. .
  19. DocATL
    Yeah…it ain’t a thing until the mesoscale models get involved.
  20. DocATL
    18z runs were meh. .
  21. DocATL
    European not eager to get on the west trend just yet so we’ll get a better picture of things over the weekend runs. .
  22. DocATL
    Trending back towards interesting on 18z GFS as the energy transfer happens further west. Going to be a few interesting days of model runs. .
  23. DocATL
    Ensembles show some decent negative anomalies gaining persistence in western Canada. This bodes well in terms of having a good source region for cold. .
  24. DocATL
    18z definitely following the trend there. Good set up for the interior northeast with a strongly negative NAO. Will see what December brings!
  25. DocATL
    Interesting 18z GFS run keeps Chicago and northern Illinois quite a bit warmer this run. Verbatim, Chicago would be without a freeze through just about the end of the month. The lows phase over the Ohio valley so they cash in over there. Will be fun to see how this plays out.
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