Outside shot hear on the coastal plain, But the 12z v16 and the 12z GFS get the trough further east with the vort @H5 tracking a bit further south too.
There has been something modeled and on ensembles in the 16-18th period for several days if not a week or so, Won't get sorted out for a while longer as the pattern over CONUS @H5 is different every model run.