dryslot
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Everything posted by dryslot
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Off the Tusk Album, Still have it but nothing to play it on............
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Need a better HP and more confluence west of QUE to get the southern s/w go underneath us instead of a BGM track
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12z GGEM looked quite cold and icy at the surface.
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A few inches on the backside of our cutter up there, A buddy of mine was up in PQI yesterday and i saw some pics, They will get some tomorrow, And there in better shape in the late week one there too.
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Quite thin up there and not much riding going on.
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Floods the warmer air north ahead of the slp as it tracks further north and west, Still icy here initially.
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12z GFS looking flatter and a tic or two south early on @H5 as well with a weaker northern stream s/w,
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He may be more right then wrong this time.
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Served his penance?
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It looks to be aligning with what some of the others have is all right now, But yeah, It has sniffed out some events.
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The 12z Nam @H5 was still positively tilted @hr 84 with the northern stream s/w out ahead just like the other op models have been showing.
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Yeah, By now were usually ready to go, There will be no ice fishing on Jan 1 this year on any lakes, Maybe a few small ponds still may have some, Before the last cutter last week, Folks were out ice fishing as i sell bags to all the bait dealers up here and sales were up as its strictly seasonal on them for the most part.
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The air mass is just real marginal so i don't know how far south it can go, If i was further north up here i would feel much better about it, Whats worse then no snow right now is no sustained cold and no ice on most bodies of water safe enough to travel on if we had snow, That's going to be the dangerous part once it does snow if there are just a few inches of ice with snow on top, Already had someone sink a sled up here last week.
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I hear you, I'm not fully onboard and hate rooting for weaker scenarios for Ice/Snow, It would be a whole lot better if we could get the whole trough further east with a low riding up it with the region being on the west of its track but not likely.
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Somebody piss in your eggnog? All i see is some in here discussing the possibilities rather then closing the blinds on another full blown cutter to Hudson Bay, The air mass once again is marginal but i mentioned it yesterday as some of these OP models had a flatter look that this could end up being a SWFE if it works out, Going to need to continue to see more changes and ensembles get onboard.
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I was going to just make this comment after going thru the last few pages when you posted that Euro H5 map that it looked like the Euro playing into its bias of hanging back the energy SW as the northern stream s/w runs out ahead of it.
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Like a 7” difference.
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Looking at the sideways france UKMO maps, It looks SWFE'ish at hr 144.
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It may be a tougher task down your way but we are getting into the time frame here where we can score on a marginal air mass..
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Get the GEFS and the EPS ensembles on board, The 12z op Euro made a move to a flatter solution but its not going to make shifts, It will be a slower death towards something better if at all.
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Were heading to a SWFE.
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NY is a different planet, Literally and figuratively to try to compare to here.
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That’s terrible for NW Maine at this juncture, I’m usually riding up there NYE.
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This is what we get when the weather sucks, Hate to see it.
