dryslot

WWA are up for tomorrow here, 1-3" with a light glaze, I was just looking past this event, I'm leaning 1" or so.

Narrowing the goal post.

I love blocking.

128.7" that winter here.

Yes you did, This next one reminds me of how many went in 2007-08 when we were north of the gradient.

Yeah, You're on the fence, 10-20 miles could make a big difference for you, I have a little more room here.

Another tick or two on the Euro and you will have the track, Thinking 60/40 Euro/GFS blend right now, Starting to see where the convergence on track will be, Will start earlier then modeled too, Typical SWFE favored climo.

0z GFS was a tic or two south of 18z but also a few hours slower, I could still see the Euro ticking north a couple as well.

0z GFS a tic or two south and slower then 18z.

That changes on Saturday?

Just doesn't look right up here for mid December.

Congrats on the wedding, And hope dad is ok.

You could see the SE ridge poke its head in there too on the H5 chart, That wont help out matters to get this more flat if its raising heights out ahead.

You can see the difference in the height fields over the great lakes from 12z to 18z.

18z Euro Op was more amped by a couple tics, 18z EPS is as well from 12z

It even goes to 997mb in the GOM with a CCB lol.

1004 mb compared to 1008 mb at 12z

18z GFS won't be flat.

MOS product looking healthy for Sunday here with the SWFE fwiw. KLEW GFSX MOS GUIDANCE 12/14/2021 1200 UTC FHR 24 36| 48 60| 72 84| 96 108|120 132|144 156|168 180|192 WED 15| THU 16| FRI 17| SAT 18| SUN 19| MON 20| TUE 21|WED CLIMO N/X 12 34| 29 50| 35 49| 20 30| 20 27| 11 27| 13 39| 17 17 33 TMP 14 31| 34 44| 39 37| 21 26| 22 22| 14 20| 18 30| 21 DPT 6 21| 32 37| 31 24| 15 20| 16 10| 6 8| 12 19| 14 CLD CL OV| OV OV| PC CL| PC OV| OV OV| CL CL| CL CL| PC WND 5 4| 7 3| 6 11| 4 8| 9 13| 11 9| 4 8| 5 P12 1 5| 92 50| 7 7| 5 71| 70 30| 9 8| 12 18| 15999999 P24 5| 94| 9| 73| 71| 16| 27| 999 Q12 0 0| 3 1| 0 0| 0 2| 4 0| 0 0| | Q24 0| 3| 0| 2| 3| 0| | T12 0 0| 0 0| 2 1| 1 0| 1 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 T24 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 PZP 0 0| 11 1| 0 0| 4 6| 11 6| 8 8| 12 8| 10 PSN 90 79| 20 0| 0 9| 38 74| 78 83| 85 82| 80 55| 66 PRS 5 1| 2 1| 1 10| 24 12| 7 6| 4 4| 4 15| 7 TYP S S| R R| R R| RS S| S S| S S| S S| S SNW 0| 0| 0| 0| 8| 0| |

May have been another one here too but it was back in the early 70's i think.

Just went back and looked in Kevin W's snow charts thread, 12/25/17 we had a surprise 12.5" storm as we had contemplated cancelling a family party that year, But we still went and i remember coming home late evening and having to clean the yard half cocked...............

Miller B festivus, Make them all Miller B's again.

And as a comparison, No i was not going across there as well.

Worst i have ever experienced.