Next chance looks to be around the 24th, That one has come and gone on the models, Will have to wait and see if we start seeing that gain more traction.
Euro caught up to the GFS, Goal post pretty much set, 4-6", 5-7" type deal with some may be seeing 10" or so right now, This has its limits, 6-9hrs of the goods.
Figure were close enough heading into the 0Z runs to start a thread for the seasons first SWFE system, Goal post still TBD, Looks like snow, Sleet and ice for many, Discuss.
It will be uniform on totals too, When you look at a PNS after these, All the areas are usually separated by a few tenths, Its generally S or S+ for a 6-9 hr period of 1-2"/hr rates.
Just looked at soundings, Something going on with the clown algorithm here, That was like 0.9"qpf and we were isotherm from the layers i could see., Looked like 6-8".
There was some big coastal events that winter that helped in some big totals up here, I'm quite sure there were several lt/mod events too, But i was more focused on girls back then then weather............
I'll agree with you that your not going to see any wild swings with it, But it started out pretty far to south almost GGEM like a few days back only to slowly tick north.