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dryslot

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Everything posted by dryslot

  1. I can see i will miss 5-10 miles to the SE of where it snows on this one on the 22nd............
  2. That was kind of where i was going with that without actually going there, We already have some ready to swan dive off the tobin ha ha, Yes, That western solution on the 22nd would force the next one further south and shred it.
  3. The 12/22 one looks to be the blocking mechanism for the two follow ups on the 24-25th, But as this ends up tracking more west, The block looks to end up there as well.
  4. I have been looking at the Ensembles on this one the last few days too, You can see the kinks back west at the surface with a few members moving in that direction.
  5. It just shreds as it tries to move NE on the 12z GFS for Christmas day.
  6. Ha, Well, Its just the last couple runs it has shifted pretty far to the west.
  7. For it to stay on the models the next couple cycles, You're probably in one of the better spots as long as it tracks where the GFS has it.
  8. Yes, If we could get this going just a tad sooner, Its still borderline here so it would not take much, But that is a potent s/w moving up the coast on the 22nd.
  9. They Jack, 12" plus for CAR, I'm on the fence here but GFS drops 4" after a zr start.
  10. Foot hills back towards Brian is going to get croaked this run.
  11. Looks like the 12z GFS will be west with this one too from the 06z run, Looks like ice here.
  12. It has to do more on phasing, For days it was phasing this over new foundland, Models are try to phase this over SNE in the last few runs, We would need this process to happen further south.
  13. Euro has it to on the 22nd, But it was a couple tics colder in the BL, GFS was pretty stout @06z up here and was much colder, Dropped 6"+........
  14. Torched BL on the Nam here, H92 anyways for a time if its even correct, I have my doubts, Its the furthest west of any model right now.
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