dryslot

NO

The Ron Washington type?

12z GFS looks to get snow into CNE this run, Pretty amped @H5.

Monday is a loss cause up here, Just watching the next one and the one after.

Typically when the block relaxes, We've had some good snowstorms, I think this is a good range for the first siggy one in the Northeast.

CNE/NNE will wait until the block relaxes some, I don't see any chances until after the 15th or so up here, 12/12 looks to be more of a SNE deal down thru NY.

I see you've lost the handle on managing the asylum.

Just looking briefly because i've been extremely busy, It looks like its rehashing all the same scenarios over and over again for the next 3 systems, Carry on, See you soon..........

SE ridge will keep the -NAO in check a bit, The battleground areas should cash in away from the coast.

Breathe.

Happy Birthday Jerry! Cheers!

As a GOAT coach has proclaimed in the past, It is what it is coming up, None of us can control it, Let it play out.

fyp

Better clown maps coming............ GFS overestimates the accumulated snow depth for mixed precipitation events with marginal temperatures and underpredicts for events with very cold temperatures. The undesired snow depth predictions are associated with GFDL microphysics and the improper density used in the Noah land surface model for different frozen precipitation types. In this upgrade, the land surface model is addressed first by providing proper density to various frozen hydrometeors.

15.5"

Hmm, Don't remember that.

That fuji'd in the right spot but there was a lot of cold around with that one.

Just gusted to 49MPH now, I don't even see any lightning with that line, Not very impressive to me either, It will be here shortly.

Jan 12th? Better chance when it relaxes.

A mega block is not a requirement up here, Actually, We can get away with none and have before but it does slow systems down to give the big dog potential which usually end up further south.

Blocky fujiwara, Mentions of 2010, All nightmarish reminders of a really bad period.

Severe Thunderstorm Warning MEC001-005-017-023-031-NHC001-003-017-010100- /O.NEW.KGYX.SV.W.0116.221201T0007Z-221201T0100Z/ BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Warning National Weather Service Gray ME 707 PM EST Wed Nov 30 2022 The National Weather Service in Gray Maine has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Warning for... Northern York County in southwestern Maine... Southern Oxford County in western Maine... Androscoggin County in southwestern Maine... Cumberland County in southwestern Maine... West central Sagadahoc County in south central Maine... Northwestern Strafford County in central New Hampshire... Eastern Belknap County in central New Hampshire... Southeastern Carroll County in northern New Hampshire... * Until 800 PM EST. * At 706 PM EST, a line of severe storms was located near Effingham, or 7 miles east of Ossipee, moving northeast at 50 mph. HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts. SOURCE...Radar indicated. IMPACT...Expect damage to roofs, siding, and trees. * Locations impacted include... Portland, Lewiston, South Portland, Brunswick, Westbrook, Conway, Bridgton, Fryeburg, Mechanic Falls, Alfred, Ossipee, Naples, Topsham, Turner, Cumberland, Gorham, Falmouth, Buxton, Freeport and Gray. This includes the following highways... Interstate 295 between mile markers 4 and 29. Interstate 95 between mile markers 45 and 88. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a building. Wind damage with this storm will occur before any rain or lightning. Do not wait for the sound of thunder before taking cover. SEEK SHELTER IMMEDIATELY inside a sturdy structure and stay away from windows. Torrential rainfall is occurring with this storm, and may lead to flash flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded roadways. && LAT...LON 4347 7118 4394 7108 4411 7064 4424 7018 4409 7001 4400 7003 4399 7005 4391 6998 4392 6996 4392 6994 4368 7010 TIME...MOT...LOC 0006Z 240DEG 44KT 4372 7097 TORNADO...POSSIBLE HAIL THREAT...RADAR INDICATED MAX HAIL SIZE...<.75 IN WIND THREAT...RADAR INDICATED MAX WIND GUST...60 MPH

Under a severe thunderstorm warning for this line coming thru, I've had wind gust of 41 and 44mph so far.

For now you're getting a triple bunner.............

We know, Thanks for the reminder, We don't need a mother of all blocks here.