dryslot
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Everything posted by dryslot
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The actual amount of precip is secondary to the fact of getting the cold in place before it arrives and how far south that happens quickly.
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Obviously If its weak it will be a fropa and i mentioned about an amped vs non amped s/w earlier.
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Folks in NNE/CNE should not be worried about this next one, Euro will end up ticking south again at 12z, GFS ticking back north as its to far south, The consensus will be in the middle over this area.
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Not the model.
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Uncle hitting the flask.
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I can get back to you now, Its certainly not the latter.
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You guys are certainly in the battleground area around the pike and just north, I could see you transitioning fairly quick though if the cold keeps pressing while the precip arrives to pellets then snow with ice/pellets further south.
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I've been here 65 yrs, I certainly know how these SWFE's work, They have a ceiling. lol
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I did, Its 8-12" here, Should be the same for you, Its not hard to figure out.
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GFS still remains on the southern envelope and the Euro on the north one, Truth is probably middle like has been mentioned.
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We all have our wants and needs lol.
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Where? You have not lived here long enough to know hows these play out up here lol
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Ha ha, Just thought of that looking at this 12z GFS run.
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We want it amped where the cold is yes.
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I'm at hr 69 and i don't see it being warmer.
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Yup, Its over.
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I agree, We already have model for trends.
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I guess we know where the GGEM is heading then.
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I even peaked at the ICON, (god help me) but that looked decent too.
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You may end up in a good spot for this, Just the trajectory of that precip field is a very wide swath.
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Its real and it will be amazing.
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He posted it on his instagram account this morning, But it was over last Saturday if Schefter and Rappaport had it, Its official now.
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I've been checking out the free version, It looked like it was spitting out close to 15:1 ratios when i compare the snow to liquid this run.
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Yeah, I'm not sure the accuracy of any of these, You really need to look at soundings, I know up here, Its looks like we stay isothermal right from the start now.
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Clown
