dryslot
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Everything posted by dryslot
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I think we had discussed the useful range right now for the AI models and were leaving that range going forward.
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12z GFS a tic or two north of 06z, Moneyshot Mike can sit back in his chair.
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SWFE storms are always uniform.
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Can't text and drive lol
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Looking at the ICON and the RGEM it looks like the NAM was puffing some pre rolls at 12z.
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12z Nam is a bit flat this run.
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The Monday stuff is a wild card in my opinion
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Nah, They can go up instead of going back, Going back is not a good look.
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If it does warm a bit, The Nam will be the first to sniff it out.
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I have no concerns to what the ICON has, But the GFS has been slowing ticking the qpf up for us, Also need to keep in mind, This is going to be some high ratio fluff so you can get more snow with less qpf.
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Doubt we would see sleet up here with this airmass but i wouldn't rule it out further south, I know what the tendencies are in these.
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I think this is a good opener for GYX.
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I'm going with 10-14" here, This is still a SWFE unless you get a secondary to develop its has a ceiling.
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This is going to be in the 14-15:1 range up here for most of the duration.
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If it starts sooner it will end sooner too, Its all relevant with the duration.
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It has the last 3 runs of all modeling.
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12-18" is more then reasonable, These SWFE's like to move around a bit the last 48hrs or so.
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06z Euro looks good.
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06z runs look good so far.
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Bufkit
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That's a decent bump west on the 0z GFS.
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What a melt........lol
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lol, I just changed it above to the state view.
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You need glasses? lol
