dryslot
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Everything posted by dryslot
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You and Rays favorite IVT......lol
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I believe so too, It won't take much.
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Not even debatable really.
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Models sniff out the colder air as we get closer, That 12z GFS came in a few tics cooler this run, If that would continue, You could get into some of it.
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I have plenty of propane for the generator.
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What a cave job by the GFS, Euro will score the win on the 4th.
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Tough spot for you this early, Mainly an overrunning event, You would need a dynamic s/w to pull the cold to the coast.
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Nam onboard too for CNE/NNE.
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A better air mass prior would offset any of this, But its quite marginal and have to see if you get some decent rates, Euro looks to intensify that 2nd wave fairly quickly on some of these prior runs so it brings snow right to the coast, We shall see over the next few cycles if this continues.
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Coastal areas are the wildcard in this, IVT's are fickle.
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Euro is warning snows, GFS caved too in CNE/NNE.
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Greens, Whites and Mahoosuc's and the county will continue to build, Up and in.
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Inside day 5 now so we’re going to see who blinks.
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Maybe we steal Christmas back from the Grinch.............
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Do you still give the euro more weight versus the GFS in percentages?
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12”+
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The thing i find with the Euro of today then back several years ago is from run to run it would only make subtle changes towards a solution whereas today's euro make some bigger swings on some storms from run to run.
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12z EPS backs the OP as well on the 4th.
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Yes, Spacing is a problem right now, It needs more room to get the wave on the 6th to amplify, I don't think its impossible, That air mass behind the 4th would support snow into SNE.
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I'm thinking the one on the 4th is the one that will win out, It seems to have the most support for a few days now.
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12z Euro going to bring it this run for the 4th for CNE/NNE.
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Maybe we can exorcist the grinch this year.
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That is a good possibility, Air mass is marginal on the first one but has ticked colder too, So probably going to need to wait a bit longer to see which one of these waves becomes the more dominant, Lot of moving parts to reconcile.
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Better air mass for the 6th too, That would support snow if its real and you can get it up the coast instead of scooting east.
