It would be tracking slower over colder waters so as it expands, Its probably going to start losing its tropical characteristics and may be a Cat 1 or a TS on arrival if it LF here in the NE.
Busy the last few days so have not been in here but the last 7 pages or so was entertaining with all the wild mood swings, Just getting caught up, 06z EPS looks like its come west a bit from the 0z run, A lot less east outliers at 06z.
Going to need to see more members on the western side as well as some inland tracks to move the needle here at some point for a higher probability chance..
The explosive development was more intriguing then the potential for this to affect the EC, It just doesn't appear to get far enough west before it turns the corner, So much has to go right and very little needs to be wrong for this to be a fish storm for the CONUS.