dryslot
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Everything posted by dryslot
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Lets get this to happen for the kids sake, Nobody wants to step on broken legos all over the house.
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All guidance onboard now, Just a matter of totals when it flips.
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12z Euro ramped up a bit, Wide area of 10-15”
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That’s reasonable, I went 4-8” for starters here.
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As Chris mentioned earlier for the coast it comes down to rates, GFS shows how you can get it done.
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The HP position and colder air with it places my area in a good spot for bleed of CAD as that S/W gains latitude and winds veer to 20 degrees or so.
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You and Rays favorite IVT......lol
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I believe so too, It won't take much.
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Not even debatable really.
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Models sniff out the colder air as we get closer, That 12z GFS came in a few tics cooler this run, If that would continue, You could get into some of it.
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I have plenty of propane for the generator.
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What a cave job by the GFS, Euro will score the win on the 4th.
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Tough spot for you this early, Mainly an overrunning event, You would need a dynamic s/w to pull the cold to the coast.
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Nam onboard too for CNE/NNE.
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A better air mass prior would offset any of this, But its quite marginal and have to see if you get some decent rates, Euro looks to intensify that 2nd wave fairly quickly on some of these prior runs so it brings snow right to the coast, We shall see over the next few cycles if this continues.
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Coastal areas are the wildcard in this, IVT's are fickle.
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Euro is warning snows, GFS caved too in CNE/NNE.
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Greens, Whites and Mahoosuc's and the county will continue to build, Up and in.
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Inside day 5 now so we’re going to see who blinks.
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Maybe we steal Christmas back from the Grinch.............
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Do you still give the euro more weight versus the GFS in percentages?
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12”+
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The thing i find with the Euro of today then back several years ago is from run to run it would only make subtle changes towards a solution whereas today's euro make some bigger swings on some storms from run to run.
