mappy

For you in Frederick County? absolutely.

probably because its happening during the morning rush hour

same up my way. they were out last night putting down brine

Ah sorry, didn’t realize I cut off the legend #mappyfail

Pivotal’s FRAM ice output for the nam

In this case, it is more based on location than elevations itself. With the low coming across the bay towards DE, it is pulling in warmer air off the bay/ocean and that warm air warms the upper atmosphere columns, hence us getting sleet and freezing rain. places out west are further from the low, so that warmer air doesn't rotate in nearly as much and they stay colder longer, and at the surface. Eventually places out west will warm too but stay cold at the surface (this is where their elevation is useful) so they will have a much more prolonged freezing event as the upper columns will be above 32, but the surface at or below freezing.

Yep, it will be in the 40s for most tomorrow, with lows in the mid 30s tomorrow night ahead of precip. that doesnt bode well for a good WAA snow thump before the column warms up due to the low and its placement. Even up here, I always warm quickly and sleet

No one pay attention to what happens to our north on Thursday. WAA will be helping them with a good front end thump of snow before any mixing. We are cursed by the closeness of the low, and won't see that snow thump.

No doubt this system has some juice in it, but the majority of it will fall as a cold rain, my backyard included. pouring freezing rain doesn't accumulate like freezing drizzle, it runs off before it can freeze on surfaces. And with a modest air mass ahead of the system, surfaces aren't going to be that cold to begin with. I think everyone is going to see a period of sleet, then freezing rain. Most south and east of 95 will change over quickly. NW crew will stay frozen longer, but even then they will turn to a cold pouring rain, with the exception of those way out of west in the mountains. we've done this dance before, everyone should know how it goes.

yeah dont think WB has that output. I'd def take the freezing rain maps WB offers with a grain of salt. they are overdone.

krobus has everything!

not even worth thinking about the what if.

that model output isn't happening.

no it was from pivotal

thats not happening with this setup, so best not to get your hopes up.

no way are people going to see .5-1" of freezing rain. thats stupid.

its not specified, so i assume its an otherwise normal school day from home.

yep. i dont mind it if it means K gets out in June before the solstice. last year was stupid late. and two of those days was for rain and nothing (as Balt Co decided to close the entire county for the early Jan storm that hit you all south while I got clouds)

@H2O first, you're old. our avatars are different seasons all together second, yes that meme is spot on

I voted against it as well, as I agree with you. My kid is older so virtual learning is easier, but still sucks to make them miss a snow day because we already used up previous snow days. My first winter in Parkton was 13/14, where we got 70" that year and kids were in school very late into June. Not us because she was only 1 at the time, but I felt for parents who had to delay summer vacations because of how many snow days they had to make up. Balt Co doesn't even list adding days to the end of year. Just day 1-5 is closure, 6+ is virtual learning on a 2hr delay schedule.

yes, but that's freezing rain. sleet doesn't accrue like freezing rain does. it piles up like snow instead.

you're welcome to have the sleet. i hate it. Right. This year will be different. Balt Co has said schools will have 5 days of actual closures for weather before the switch to virtual learning. For my area, thats great because having to tack on days at the end of year sucks. Last year my kid didn't get out of school until the like 6/20

about .4 of qpf IMBY before I hit 33. yay to pouring sleet!

Ha! I remember that too growing up in AA County. Would always silently curse those in the "hereford zone" and their snow days If only I had known where my future would lead me

its probably easier for BaltCo because its a north/south split vs east/west. The Hunt Valley/Cockeysville area being the cut-off for that zone makes perfect sense. Anything north of there is the Hereford zone, 4 elementary schools, 1 middle, 1 high school. Once you get down to HV/Cockeysville it gets messier with all the districts and locations of schools. And as I have learned, it could be 30 and puking snow here while its 35 and rain at work in HV