Stormlover74

Interesting watching the 2 areas of precip intersect over central nj

The heaviest could easily end up 100 miles in either direction and will probably bounce all over the place between now and thursday

I feel like we can't really pinpoint anything until inside 24 hours since the low is just meandering off the coast

Nobody ever wins

That's what I saw this weekend in western PA. However at higher elevations in central PA there was a decent amount of color already

Its a crapshoot not a forecast.

We need to stop trying

Welcome to weather models

I wonder if it will be like 2007 when we peaked in mid November. Though that year the heat remained well into October “With seasons like this, you usually have an extended period of color,” said Frank Lombardo, a meteorologist and chief executive officer of the WeatherWorks forecasting company, based in Warren County. “The trees that are susceptible to drier weather will start turning leaves early. The trees that are healthy and aren’t stressed will start to turn their leaves later, so you’ll get an extended season.” A big factor contributing to colorful fall foliage seasons in New Jersey is adequate rain, which helps keep the root system of trees strong, Lombardo noted. “We had a very wet spring," he said. "So a lot of trees are healthy, with a lot of leaves hanging on.” Despite some trees that are shedding their leaves a little early, Tom Sheppard also is confident New Jersey will have a colorful autumn. “I think we’ll have a nice fall foliage season,” said Sheppard, chief park naturalist for the Hunterdon County Division of Parks and Recreation. “Will we have the best one? I wouldn’t say that, but I think we’ll have a solid one. I think all the rain we had early in the year has been enough to keep the trees in good condition.”

Supercells firing up out there

11/14

I remember when I was 4 we had what was left of hurricane David in 1979. I'm not sure I knew what a hurricane was or why we would name them but I could see the rain blowing down the street sideways and the man on the radio saying to stay away from the windows

March 2010 was probably more intense

We hadn't had a nor'Easter like that in at least a decade

Apparently Seattle's getting a thunderstorm

Today looks like a bust down here.

Have to use tapatalk

Congrats!

So Barry was a hurricane for what 3 hours?

That would've been the morning low though. Still made it up to upper 70s low 80s that day though would've been a bit cool by fireworks time

15/5/1 May 1/0/0 June 0/0/0 July 2/0/0 August 3/2/0 September 5/3/1 October 3/0/0 November/December 1/0/0

It was a really tough forecast as closer to the city it was rain until late in the day. We kept going back and forth but I don't think they expected 8-12" to pile up in about 6 hours. Kinda similar to the November storm we just had

I got stuck in that one, took 5 hours to drive 15 miles (parsippany to Montclair). It was a rain snow mix and then just turned to heavy wet snow and started piling up around 3pm And that was before gps and I didn't even have a cell phone yet

108 degree heat in July, 18" of rain in August, Irene flooding and tree damage, October snowstorm and tree damage. March 9 degrees above average.