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Everything posted by Stormlover74
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December 2020 General Discussions & Observations Thread
Stormlover74 replied to bluewave's topic in New York City Metro
My lawn faces south and snow is mostly gone. Across the street they still have total snow cover -
Seems unlikely at central park
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An additional concern is the windy conditions that will develop. GFS forecast soundings show 65 to 75 kt winds at 950 mb by Thursday night. Given the inversion that is likely to develop with the snow pack keeping the lower levels cold, it will be difficult to mix these higher winds to the surface. However, Wind Advisory level winds (gust of 46 to 57 mph) seems plausible. The strongest winds should occur overnight, with the core of the strongest winds along the coast. This will be fine tuned as we get closer to the event
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December 2020 General Discussions & Observations Thread
Stormlover74 replied to bluewave's topic in New York City Metro
42. The melting has commenced 45 now -
How much snow is it showing?
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Obs and nowcast Sunday 12/20/20 daylight snowfall
Stormlover74 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Steady light snow now. up to 34 -
Obs and nowcast Sunday 12/20/20 daylight snowfall
Stormlover74 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Flurries in Linden -
December 2020 General Discussions & Observations Thread
Stormlover74 replied to bluewave's topic in New York City Metro
DT is crowing about the 29th-30th -
The last line is from auld lang syne
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December 2020 General Discussions & Observations Thread
Stormlover74 replied to bluewave's topic in New York City Metro
Euro is very delayed with the cold air -
December 2020 General Discussions & Observations Thread
Stormlover74 replied to bluewave's topic in New York City Metro
And 2009 while we had snow on Christmas morning we lost much if not all of it from a warm rainy day -
December 16-17, 2020 Storm Observations and Nowcast
Stormlover74 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
I saw a few sporadic 4-5" amounts but not enough to shade the whole area in blue- 1,011 replies
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Me too. 17" in 8 hours What was so amazing was at midnight the storm was just forming...nothing was even on radar yet and then it just exploded
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12/30/2000
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December 16-17, 2020 Storm Observations and Nowcast
Stormlover74 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
GFS 72 hours out- 1,011 replies
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Its almost identical. If anything a hair east and snowier around the city
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Pretty sure that was a rain vs snow event with surface temps expected to rise into the mid and upper 30s and instead we stayed around freezing and never flipped. This storm seems more complicated with mid-level warming being a bigger issue
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So many components had to come together perfectly. And one fly in the ointment can screw everything up. In this case we have several flies
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All for a couple sloppy inches
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That was because the surface was too warm. That storm didn't have much sleet
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It's going to come down to whether the nam and its warm layer is correct and we see alot of mixing esp for central and even northern nj
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Further north than that. Its east of AC
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