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Stormlover74

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Everything posted by Stormlover74

  1. Stormlover74
    Yeah 850s are plenty cold but seems like our problem is usually around 700. I know it's way too early to be worrying about those aspects
  2. Stormlover74
    Yeah they're like 48 hours apart
  3. Stormlover74
    There could always be a sneaky warm layer and change to sleet over lehigh/central nj
  4. Stormlover74
    Snow doesn't count if it doesn't stick around at least a week
  5. Stormlover74
    It used to be a given the gfs would be suppressed at this range and come north at the last minute. That was supposedly fixed with the upgrade but it may end up being the case again
  6. Stormlover74
    Yeah its risky to keep kicking the can if this weekend doesn't work out
  7. Stormlover74
    Nam would be sniffing out warm layers as we wait to flip to sleet
  8. Stormlover74
    Looks like a sleetfest for portions of the nyc metro. Just add it to the pile
  9. Stormlover74
    If this was a week after the boxing day blizzard I think we'd be doing the same thing lol
  10. Stormlover74
    And who knows what the euro will do in an hour
  11. Stormlover74
    We certainly got lucky with that one
  12. Stormlover74
    Seems like we have 5 scenarios. Suppressed nothing, suppressed few inches. All rain. Few inches then flip to rain. Big hit.
  13. Stormlover74
    Crushes everyone 50 miles west of the cities
  14. Stormlover74
    I disagree. Gfs is only model super suppressed and it's only been 1 run after 6 straight good runs. Warm rainy scenario still on table. Thursday we'll have a better idea and Saturday we might know for sure
  15. Stormlover74
    Gfs is snowy mostly south of the M/D line
  16. Stormlover74
    I feel like if suppression and inland runner are on the table then the in between all snow scenario must be as well. Even if only a 1 in 5 chance
  17. Stormlover74
  18. Stormlover74
    Ukie is in the warm/cmc camp
  19. Stormlover74
    Generally yes. Once the models settle on a rainy solution inside 5 days they don't seem to budge. But suppression is a risk too and could very well end up a southern mid Atlantic special
  20. Stormlover74
    6 days out is an eternity.
  21. Stormlover74
    I'd rather see this now and have it come back north since it usually trends that way
  22. Stormlover74
    I'll take it for now
  23. Stormlover74
    That was widespread 24 to 30" and a very slow mover
  24. Stormlover74
    Cmc stays all frozen west of the city and 95 but we need that low 50 miles east not over DE
  25. Stormlover74
    Too soon to say. That's the very end of the euro run
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